5 Working Betting Strategies in NBA Playoffs

The end of the spring and June – the playoff time in the basketball championships. Previously, all of the elite begins the National Basketball Association. In this article, we’ll talk about betting strategies that are still working and can bring profits to players betting on the NBA playoffs.

The first games in the series are created for viewing and evaluating the status of teams. They are building the whole scenario of further confrontation, as immediately there is a clear motivation and the first official statistics. In the decisive matches, it can seriously differ from the one that was shown by the teams in the regular season.

Also in the NBA, it is very important to feel the right time for a bet. Because to hope for some serious errors in the line is not necessary.

This is not Europe, where everything is decided by the cash flows of paid mailings and professional players. Here it certainly is, but the quality of the lines is quite different.

So, in order to successfully place bets on playoff NBA, you need to pay attention to trends. It is they who point to weak points, where bookmakers, due to some laws of line drawing, can’t adequately react to the situation.

Strategies #1 and #2

1. Since 2003, the club that loses the first game of the series at home (this is always the favorite of the pair), in the second game 49-10 (83% probability of winning).
2. Since 2003, guest teams that lost in the first match of the series, in the second have a victory bet of 40-111 (26%)

So, whatever one may say, the second game is always a good opportunity to bet on the hosts. Provided that there are no injuries to leaders and other force majors (disqualifications, very bad matchups, etc.).

Those who like to bet on outsiders, it is worth paying attention to the match number 3.

Strategy #3

According to the statistics of the last 14 seasons, the team with the higher seeding, which leads in the series 2-0, in the game number 3 has only 48-63 wins (43%).

So, no matter how bad an outsider pair does not look in the first two games, it usually makes sense to believe in it after moving the series.

Another working trend of recent years is the bet on the team, which was the 4-point favorite (and more) after the defeat.

Strategy #4

The favorite of 4 points or more breaks the handicap in almost 59% of the cases (98-69) after the defeat.

Well, the last law applies to all 4 + -point favorites.

Strategy #5

4+ point favorite, loser of the match in 4 points or more, in the next breaks the handicap with the indices 79-46 (63. 2%)
Why did the authors in the study run into a 4-point advantage when closing the line? The answer is obvious. The advantage of home parquet in the NBA is 4 points. If the team receives a handicap of -4 or more (-5. 5, -6, etc.) – this means that we are dealing with teams that are in different weight classes.

Summary

If you are too lazy to delve into the trendy jungle of the NBA, then here’s the squeeze of what is still working in the NBA playoffs:

1. In the game number 2 – it is better to look for an opportunity to bet on the hosts
2. If the favorite led 2-0, then the best opportunity for betting on the underdog match № 3
3. If the 4+ point favorite lost the match – he most likely will take the handicap in the next meeting. Chances are slightly higher if he lost more than 4 points.