Basketball Forecasts for Free: Mathematics or Statistics

In basketball, the game is dynamic and productive, the situation on the floor is changing every second.  It would seem, how can you predict the final or intermediate result, and even make money on it? It turns out that this team competition is well predicted.  The outcome of the match can be predicted with a certain accuracy, even using qualitative forecasts for basketball free of charge.  And, if you use a more accurate analysis, then the chances of success increase at times.

Basketball rules

Doing bets without understanding the essence of the game, the rules of the ball, technical execution of the throw, disposition of athletes on the site is unreasonable.  In our opinion, it is necessary to know the basic data about this sport.

• In the competition of two teams, 12 athletes from each side participate, but on the field can be from 3 to 5 of them.
• The game is to hit the ball, which is in the hands of the player, in the opponent’s basket and at the same time create a hindrance for throwing into his ring.
• The basic principle of action on the court is the game of passing.
• The rule “30 seconds” is in effect: the end of the attack should take place no later than half a minute after the face-off.
• The beginning of the match is a rally of a controversial throw in the central sector: a representative of each team tries to properly repel him.
• In the course of the game, a ball can be owned by one basketball player, the others create conditions for the development of an attack or perform an interception and prevent the throw (the opposing team).
• Move the basketball player with the ball on the court: hitting the ball against the floor at least every 2 steps.
• The number of player replacements is not regulated.
• The periods last 10 minutes. There are 4. Breaks: 2 minutes each.  Only after the second segment of the game is a rest 15 minutes.
• Replacement of rings occurs after the second 10-minute.
• The team that scored more points in the regular time will win. If the winner is undecided, 5 extra minutes of play. With the same result, one more overtime is appointed and so on – until the victory of one of the teams.
• The baskets are located at a height of 3. 05 m from the basketball court.
• One point (point) is penalized. A two-point shot is counted from the middle and short range. If hit from the zone behind the three-point line, then this is 3 points.
• Playground with dimensions: 28x15m.

Prohibitive actions:

• punches the ball with your fist;
• playing with your feet;
• movement with the ball without hitting them in the floor
• two-handed control;
• Countering the movement of an opponent by blocking the legs
• carrying the ball.

The offending team is penalized by the execution of two free throws by any rival player.

Methods of forecasting outcomes

More number of permanent competitions allows you to analyze the game of several suitable teams and make profitable bets.  The predictability of basketball forecasts depends on the size of the sample.  The more monitored data on games or bets, the more accurate the predictions.  By giving out forecasts for basketball free of charge, as well as by subscription on a fee basis, experts use various methods of forecasting.

• Logical. The basis is the analysis of past events. Taking into account the experience of previous generations, its correction is carried out taking into account today’s realities, a forecast is made for the future.
• Extrapolation method. Used to find the results in quantitative terms. This number of shots, jumping, speed of movement, other.  The optimally winning nature of the changes is extrapolated to a specific period of play in the future.
• Statistical and mathematical methods. Considered today the most effective, and therefore popular with analysts and forecasters. They are used, including when making forecasts for basketball free of charge.

Statistical analysis for predicting basketball outcomes

The accuracy of mathematical statistics is quite high, that is how certain concrete figures are used.  At the same time, subjective factors (psychological stress, fatigue of players) are not fixed anywhere, which means they are not taken into account.  The statistical methodology of forecasting is based on specific fixed indicators of the volleyball game (the results of studying the game of basketball players and information on the standings, plans, reports of teams).  Taking into account the choice of the predicted command, the required data is selectively used.  The method involves monitoring of special literature, the results of scientific research. Studying the statistics, there are regularities that help with a certain degree of probability to predict the outcome of an event. Moreover, a voluntary or involuntary change of at least one factor in the analysis of the basketball strategy can entail a change in a number of other parameters.  Fundamental are:

• Loss of the ball: fraught with the breakdown of attacks and the execution of throws over the basket by an opponent;
• ability to perform from the free throw line: the more often this happens, the more effective the rolls;
• picking the ball at the time of the attack to re-take the opponent’s basket;
• a set of points in terms of effectiveness: the same result can be achieved with two- or three-point shots with different hits per hit.

Using correctly chosen methods of sports forecasting allows you to choose the necessary tactics of the game, to resist bookmakers in basketball bets.

What is better: mathematics or statistics

Beeches can’t be won without the interrelation of calculations with the revealed regularities.  The analysis of events shows that logical (often subjective) thinking loses before irrefutable evidence of formulas.  In the calculations there are no emotions, preferences, intuition.  Only 100% of objectivity and simple combinations of facts.  In the bets on basketball, the methods of mathematical statistics dominate.  They are the most accurate, since they take into account several parameters.  Most bookmakers in their lines do not show draws, although they are in basketball happen, although extremely rare.  From the point of view of mathematical modeling, this balances the chances of teams, makes the outcomes for winning by the fore, total, for the victory of one of the clubs equally equally probable.

Scientific calculations accurately calculate computer programs. Using forecasts for basketball free of charge or doing sports betting professionally on a fee basis, you need to take for an axiom that mathematical prediction is not an accidental success of the upcoming event, but a thought-out strategy of winnings on a long-term basis.  Analysis and calculation algorithm is based on the unbiased logic of numbers and formulas, reliable facts that characterize the team’s efficiency (potential).  Subjective assessments of analysts and forecasters are excluded, as well as secondary indicators (physical form, motivation, others) that do not radically affect the outcome of the game.  As a result, the patency of mathematical predictions is stated at the level of 60%, but can reach up to 75%.

Principles of mathematical modeling

The system of modeling (compiling the required sample of the state of the basketball team) and the prediction of the outcomes are interrelated.  The development of the model is based on the results of studying the specifics of the game, specifying the factors that contribute to the effectiveness of the competition and enhance sports results.  Another type of modeling – logic and mathematics in acquiring specific knowledge in the field of physical training, technical and tactical skills, etc.

Before creating a mathematical model for basketball betting, preliminary work is carried out:

• on the basis of expert assessments compiled by qualified specialists, a ranking of the rival teams is built;
• studying history, taking into account the current state and progressive trends in the development of basketball;
• the tactics of the team’s game are determined, for which all the material on clubs and players is carefully analyzed: the passability of throws from the three-point zone, the percentage of selection of the ball under the basket, the frequency of unimplemented throws, fouls;
• reveals the degree of influence on the game of disincentive factors: the participation in the game of athletes of non-core composition, tactical errors when throwing and picking the ball, the causes of fouls;
• the conformity of basketball players to the criteria of the team and individual world basketball models is evaluated, their sports and gaming competitiveness for victories in the international arena.
• The potential of players to participate in major world tournaments is explored.

These and other factors affect the mathematical model of predicting basketball bets.  The impartiality of the assessment and the accuracy of the calculation form the final outcome: the winning or losing of the team being examined.

Why do you need to pay for basketball forecasts?

To create a product of high quality, there are professionals recognized in the world of betting who have many years of experience: forecasters, analysts.  At the same time, basketball forecasts are free of high probability to risk the cash bank of the better: they are available to the general public and become the “prey” of the numerous army of players who bet on the sport.  To improve the chances of preserving and multiplying it, it is better to use paid predictions.

They contain expensive experience, knowledge, qualifications of experts, programmers, analysts.  Based on reliable facts without emotional background, the strengths and weaknesses of the teams are explained reasonably, the only true strategy of the game is found, the correct decision is determined: whether to bet or not.  A well-designed mathematical forecast not only helps beginners in the game of sports, but also enjoys the authority of experienced players.

Attention! Do not expect from professionals engaged in paid predictions, guaranteed 100% of the result.  They only help in choosing the right bet, the final decision remains for the player.

Basically, basketball predictions are in demand for beginners.  Their availability generates an agiotage for the chosen event, the desire to replenish your bank as soon as possible.  As a result, the number of bets on the game rises sharply, and the coefficient, respectively, drops.  Paid the same package is available only to a specific player. His patency is higher, as is the probability of breaking the jackpot. The main advantages of paid forecasts for basketball in the guarantee of getting a player on the bets of a professionally composed prediction.

Scientific methods, the effectiveness of information technology allow predicting outcomes in basketball with great patency.  High accuracy and correct use of them guarantee a good profit in the game.  Using forecasting as an effective method of professional work with bets, trust only the proven forecasting services.  So you reduce the risks of losses, you can confidently bet on profitable outcomes for the distance in an exciting game – basketball.