Bets on Football: Bias of Judges and its Influence

The result of the fight depends on a huge number of factors. Each of them has a different weight, which is important to consider during bets on football. In this regard, the decision of an arbitrator in some matches plays a decisive role. Therefore, it is necessary to determine how objectively the referee judges matches and whether he does not have bias towards individual players or clubs.

Personality of an arbitrator

Organizers of football matches always try to find a referee, whose interest in this or that confrontation will be neutral. But is it? The personality of the arbiter is one of the main factors influencing the outcome of the match, so in this regard it is worth investigating in more detail.

The judges have different experiences. Someone more often makes mistakes, someone gives players the opportunity to more aggressively fight for the ball, and someone can immediately write out a red card at the beginning of the game.

Hence the injustice of refereeing, which is most often manifested in a losing team. FIFA often receives complaints from the referees, who make gross mistakes, but because of this the result of the match does not change, and therefore no one will return the bet.

Do these books use bookmakers when calculating the coefficients? If their influence were obvious and entailed serious changes in the statistics, this necessarily affected the quotations. However, the bureaucracy is hardly paying attention to the bias of judges.

As an example, you can pay attention to the Premier League of England. The championship consists of 380 matches, for the service of which twenty referees are required. In fact, half of the judges serve most of the confrontations. As an example, you can cite the season 2013/2014. Then 12 referees judged an average of twenty matches. In this regard, one team during one championship several times meets with the same arbiter.

Among the referees of the Premier League you can pay attention to Mike Dean. His career began in 2001. For all the time he managed to work out more than 350 official matches.

Mike Dean vs. “Gunners”

Among fans of Arsenal there is an opinion that the team is much worse because of bias Mike Dean. This was even written by local newspapers. However, the time frame between 2009 and 2013 was used as arguments. During this period, Arsenal did not show the best game.

During this time, Mike Dean six times judged matches with the participation of the “Gunners”. As a result, they won only one victory and five draws. Naturally, among the fans immediately went rumors about the bias of the referee to Arsenal. However, for such judgments, the fans used a small sample, which consists of unsuccessful performances of Arsen Wenger’s wards.

For example, from the beginning of his career until 2009, Mike Dean worked 21 matches with Arsenal. During this time, the London club was defeated only once.

Conclusion

To determine the bias of a judge to a club, you can’t use a small sample of data, because in this case you will not get objective results.

Since teams do not often meet with the same referees, analyzing this parameter is extremely difficult, so it is easier to omit it.

As an alternative, it is much more important to review the work of the referee in other matches. Pay attention to how many yellow and red cards give per game, how often assigns a penalty and so on.