Features of Betting on the Second and Third Leagues in Football

It is obvious that the second and third divisions are different from the elite group of teams. Football there is simpler, more primitive, the class and technical arsenal of football players themselves is more modest. Сoaches don’t have the most brilliant with ideas. To turn the game around, set some tactical innovations, either those or others banally lack skills.

On the one hand, such tactical primitivism is bad from the standpoint of those who like to lay out matches like chess games. But on the other hand, it makes matches easier and more predictable. It is clear that this plays to the bettors’ advantage, since there are fewer sensations. Let’s consider the other advantages and disadvantages of betting on secondary football divisions.

Benefits

One of the key advantages of lower league bets is the less number of manipulations with odds that a bookmaker sets. The bulk of the money is spinning in bets on the top divisions, the Champions League, matches of national teams. It is in these tournaments and competitions that bookmakers love to arrange so-called traps on the one hand, as well as lower quotes for favorites on the other. In general, there are many distortions in the line to these tournaments and considerable experience is needed to distinguish worthy valuable bets, or at least adequately priced events, from artificially underestimated or overvalued ones. In the lower leagues, this is simpler, there is less distortion.

For example, in the Premier League, BS often underestimates odds for a favorite. By all estimates, a leader can be given 1.50, if not higher, and bookmakers sculpt 1.15. And it is clear that a favorite is likely to win, the probability is already high. But for such a ridiculous, clearly understated figure, no professional bettor will take this event. After all, in the distance misfires will happen to such favorites somewhere, and underestimated performance will not allow a player to get a plus.

At the same time, a typical trap forms on the back shoulder. Since the odds are underestimated for a favorite, then they are overestimated for an underdog. At the same time, we found out that they’re likely to lose, although the probability of this does not match the odds. As a result, having listened to the top of the Value Betting theory, a player bets according to what they think are value odds and loses.

So it turns out that the fans of betting on favorites of the shop are “cut” at a distance, due to the chronic underestimation of odds, and the adherents of value — on traps. In this regard, in the lower divisions, odds are even and it is easier to find outcomes with real value.

The second important point that gives an advantage to a player in the lower leagues is the ratio of capacities with the analytical departments of betting shops. It is clear that the entire focus of attention of BS analysts is focused on the most profitable markets, top divisions, the Champions League, top matches of national teams and the like. But the second and third championship divisions are served on a residual basis.

That is why, in these matches, an experienced and knowledgeable player may find more mistakes when placing quotes. A bettor has the opportunity to understand, to delve deeper into what is happening in the league than the level of analysis with which their antagonists on the side of BS go through. Often when evaluating matches of the second leagues, the emphasis is on statistics.

Meanwhile, a player has room to pay more attention to some local factors that will affect the outcome of a particular game more than some long-playing trends. This may be information about the additional motivation of a team or key players: holidays, birthdays of coaches or management, festivities in the city where the club is based, the arrival of sponsors. Or, on the contrary, negative aspects: a difficult road to an away match, transport breakdown, rotten sandwiches in the club cafeteria, salary delays, a fight in the shower, sponsor’s departure, some football scandals.

If something like this leaks out, and a bettor manages to catch it and take it into account in forecasts, a big advantage is obtained over the formal approach of BS. It is clear that all the same points exist with respect to clubs from the elite. But there every squeak, sneezing, is immediately captured by the press, since such teams are always under close attention, which can’t be said about the state-owned clubs of the lower leagues.

In the case of minor tournaments, important information can be obtained from a carelessly thrown phrase in some commentary by coaches or athletes for the YouTube club channel, or posted on social networks.

Another major advantage of the lower leagues is the fact that they are periodically visited by “celestials”. Not only “guest performers”, teams that are more suitable for the second league as a class, but periodically breaking into the elite, raking there to the fullest and rolling backwards, slide into the lower division from the higher division. It happens that a crisis is overtaken by decent clubs, which, in their history, financial capabilities, and class, must play in the “top”. When such a “client” finds themselves in the lower league — this is a shame, but also an incentive to revenge.

Usually the leadership is mobilized, throws all the resources for an early return to the status quo. In the lower league, an obvious favorite is formed, who, being two heads taller than everyone, just skates to all rivals. This results in a long series of victories, an abundance of goals. If you catch such a trend in time, then on the victorious wave of such teams you can decently promote the bank. Pretty fair quotes will benefit , because here due to the difference in the class odds on a favorite will not be cut so hard and not immediately, as it would be in the elite.

It can be noted that this thing does not only work with the transition between the top division and the second league. Similar effects happen lower in the “food chain”. A team of the second division level may drop out in the third league and already be there the “largest fish”, which “will eat all small fry” and return home. If a bettor follows the league spectrum, is not stupid and not under a rock, then it is not difficult for them to identify such teams at the start of the season, to take advantage of the opportunity to earn money on them.

Here it is worth pointing out one nuance. To bet on such favorites you need to look back, look at the gap on points. The fact is that for the first 2/3 of the season you can especially not worry and enjoy winning after winning, maybe only with a single failure. But further separation from the pursuers can grow, which will relax players.

Here, inevitably, misfires, loss of points, draws, possibly even losses, will inevitably happen, performance may fall for several games. One must be prepared for this, coordinate their strategies with the likelihood of a recession described. Of course, if competitors come closer again, the team will shake things up and get down to business again. In general, attentive players will be able to play on these “swings”.

Disadvantages

The problems of betting on the second league include not too good coverage of these matches. Broadcasts are harder to find. Following the shortage of broadcasts, everything is rather scarce with reviews, coaching interviews, and analytical programs. However, the rule applies here: where there’s a will there’s a way. If the league is interesting and you set a goal, everything can be found through search engines, like Google, without any problems. So an indication of this drawback of lower league bets is more of an excuse. Well, if you do not like it, do not get involved, bet only on the major leagues, collecting all their advantages and disadvantages.

It can also be noted that in the line of betting shops, proposition bets on secondary divisions are already poorer. The line itself comes out later, with significant delays, compared to elite divisions. Understated limits can also be noted here. Understanding all the risks of local leagues mentioned above as advantages for players, bookmakers set more modest highs.

But then again, the problem is far-fetched. If you really bet large amounts, then nothing prevents you from creating multiple coupons with the same outcome. In extreme cases, you can bet in parallel in several shops and do not know grief.

Going into lower league bets is pretty hard. You need to deeply understand the teams, their motivation. It is important to understand that in these divisions the salaries are lower than in the “top”. Often, a large proportion of players are very young, or those are veterans who’ve had enough already.

So the players here have a slightly different psychology, motivation, which affects the drawing of the game, dedication. It is difficult to perceive at the start, but when the better penetrates, it becomes an advantage. After all, they will begin to understand those delicate places where you can take advantage over a bookmaker, who often conducts a very superficial analysis in the lower leagues.

And now let’s go through specific tournaments of the second tier, noting their features.

Spanish Segunda bets

Of the second leagues that we did not consider separately, as we did with the English Championship and the Russian FNL, it is worth noting the lower division of Spain, Segunda. There are many well-known teams that have been celebrated in the Example in different years. The density of worthy clubs in Spain is quite high.

So it is not surprising that some of the big names are constantly in the second league and are forced to fight for a return. Deportivo, Malaga, Granada are rising quite well in Segunda; Osasuna, Sporting Gijon and Mallorca are hiding somewhere a little behind. Just think, Deportivo, who played in the Champions League perfectly in the past, and then there is such a fall. In general, as recommended above, such teams that have fallen down should be watched in the early stages of the season and bet on while they deal with their opponents.

It is worth noting that many draws are played in Segunda, more often the “bottom” happens; hence the main trends that are worth playing on. Even in meetings of favorites, whenever possible, you need to insure against a draw, use zero handicaps, collect them at least with a “ladder” because of the smallness of odds. Perhaps someone will prefer double bets by 1X and total under 3.5, since over 3 in Segunda are really scored relatively rarely.

You can work with totals under, choose boring grassroots teams and play Total Under (2), Total Under (2.5). With these outcomes, you can act according to the classics, bet and wait for money, or you can arb in live, taking profits before the second half, where more often activity begins, if there is any. In general, take a look at this league, there are many trends on which you can successfully play.

Italian Championship Serie B

Traditional Italian football, characterized by low performance and an abundance of draws, is somewhat deformed in Serie A, where there are many legionnaires and interesting coaching ideas break in. But in Series B, this style is thriving. So the matches of Series B are fertile ground where bets on draws work, “X” directly, for example, by Martingale.

Of course, there is a pool of teams that pretend to get into the elite as soon as possible. So having caught their winning move on this, you can and should go. Against the background of general aridity, there are several teams that regularly break through the total. These are: Brescia, Benevento, Foggia, Lecce, Pescara, home La Spezia, guest Palermo. Accordingly, taking even the insured Total Over (2), you can use good odds, since the “tops” in this league are evaluated relatively generously, for obvious reasons.

2 Bundesliga betting

The second Bundesliga consists of very motley teams. There are clubs here that periodically enter the big leagues, but there is also a “swamp”. It is noteworthy that this tournament is famous for very unpredictable results. So we would caution you against betting on the main outcomes in any way. But with totals you can work. Usually they look in the direction of high performance.

Those few clubs that love to dry a game are swept away. With other teams, various options for betting on total over often play: Total Over (2.5), Total Over (3), BTTS plus Total Over (2.5), individual total over 1.5. For accumulators, more cautious ones are often taken: Total Over (2), ITO (1).

Those who realized in time that Hamburg would fly out have already earned quite well. Those who did not have time for this “feast” shouldn’t be upset. One of the reputable clubs of the German football elite will certainly fly out again, and you can make money on their heroic return.

2 French Championship League

The second division of France is very distinctive. Here a set of 5-7 teams is constantly crowded, which in recent years has been highlighted in the elite of French football. As a rule, these clubs look better than “swamps” and dispute the highest places, allowing to sparkle in the elite again.

Here you can note such teams as: Metz, Brest, Reims, Lorient, Amiens, Lance. And do not be afraid if we mentioned a couple of clubs that are now playing in the elite. They will definitely return home, if not in a season, then through a couple for sure.

You can use the advantage in the class of the indicated cohort of teams, play for their victories at home, zero handicaps away, for individual totals. Of course, you always have to be on the alert, it’s France. If League 1 is a little drained out, then in the lower divisions a lot of draws and “grassroots” matches are played. It is definitely worth avoiding bets on full-time confrontations between clubs from the mentioned group. Teams can go very productively, but once on an equal opponent, a draw and the total under up to 0-0 often happen.

Also in the French League 2 there are always a lot of average teams who play boring football with low performance. Of course, it’s not often possible to get decent performance for bare total under 2.5, because bookies understand everything. But you can play with insurance in live. Before a game you take Total Under (1.5) or Total Under (2), wait for some time while the traditional buildup is in progress. Then an arb in live is made for total over and profit is fixed. It’s a very working technique.

England minor leagues

As you know, in England there are a lot of football leagues. Major League: Premier League, then Championship. We talked about the features of betting on these tournaments in separate detailed reviews. It turns out that League 1 in England is the third in importance, League 2, respectively, fourth. And then comes the national league, followed by the regional championships. In general, before you get to absolutely amateur football, you can count 5-8 divisions.

The lower leagues of England are the cradle of a purely British style. That’s where the “hit-and-run” flourishes. Because of this primitivism, tournaments are very predictable. You can always distinguish 3-5 teams that either give out impressive winning series, especially in their fields, as well as those that are confidently drowning. But the main outcomes are far from the main thing, for which betters are sent to the lower leagues of England.

Here it is much more stable played on general and individual totals. Moreover, there are no general trends. Some leagues are not very clogged, for example, League 1 and the National League. But League 2 and regional tournaments, on the contrary, are more often pleased with large totals. Of course, it is necessary to approach teams differentially, there could be no “one size fits all” approach.

It is always easy here, even purely from statistics, to identify a whole breakthrough of teams that score more than 1 goal on major holidays. Accordingly, they are played by affixing individual totals under 1 or 1.5. Usually this is done as a “ladder” in order to gain significant odds on such trends.

On the other hand, you can collect a pool of teams that rarely leave the field without breaking a total of 2 goals. So from matches with their participation, accumulators or small ladders for Total Over (2) are often collected. Well, there are teams that are especially famous for attack and holey defense, here heavy bets on Total Over (3), Total Over (3.5), both teams to score plus total over already work.

There are clubs that consistently score 1 goal or more, either only at home, or regardless of the place of performance. On these trends bettors also play, utilizing a bet on individual Total Over 1. If for single bets odds are too small, doubles are collected, they suit here.

So the lower divisions of England are a vast and varied field for betting. A legible bettor will surely find interesting teams that please with stable results of one kind or another.

Second League of Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark

Such a group of tournaments as the second league championships of Belgium, the Netherlands, and Denmark is also noteworthy. Here we can see the continuity of what is happening in the top divisions of these countries, only in the lower leagues this trend takes on even more hypertrophied forms. It is about reckless football, high performance. The main outcomes in these championships can be set only occasionally.

Basically, the games of these championships are considered for betting on total over and on goals in live. Indeed, in these leagues more often than elsewhere, you can run into a real goalfall. 6-8, or even 10 goals in a match are not so rare. So some bettors like to catch live goals in time periods. After a bit of training, realizing what’s happening in a particular league, you can very successfully grow a bank, taking advantage of the recklessness of football in this region.

Second Brazil League

Some bettors are interested in such an exotic championship as the Brazilian championship. The Far Eastern regions are located in such time zones where it is not convenient to watch European football, but there is an opportunity to track games in America, including Latin, at an adequate time. So the majority of Brazilian football fans account for precisely these regions. In addition to the major league, you can pay attention to the second division of Brazil.

From the trend in the second league of Brazil not too high performance can be noted. Many matches are played at 0:0, 1:0. So you can try to catch weighty totals under 1.5, 2. In connection with the same trend, bets are regularly placed on “BTTS — no”. It can also be noted that in the league a lot of pronounced home teams that play well in their own stadiums rarely lose.

Due to the dominance of draws, it is not necessary to take clear victories, but to insure yourself with a zero handicap, a double outcome of 1X, or combine 1X with a total under 2.5 or 3.5, as the case may be. Often, in the Brazilian Series B, you can catch a group of favorites who really fight for a promotion in the class, bet on them in matches with average teams and make money on the stability of leaders.

Conclusions

The second and other lower leagues of football championships are an unplowed field, “terra incognita” for so many bettors, for the mainstream, so to speak. And that’s a mistake. It is where the attention of bookmakers is not so close that you can find advantages that are extremely rare when playing at matches of top divisions. So if you have come to bets thoroughly, take a closer look at the football “basements” and find the benefits for your game there. As we indicated, there is a full range of these goods.