Football Analysis: Discussion of the Current Form of Team and History of Personal Meetings

In betting, it is extremely important to get as close to the truth as possible in order to predict an outcome.  To do this, it is necessary to note the most important factors and objectively assess the significance of each of them, and then correctly prioritize them.  When analyzing a football match, you can’t ignore the current form of the team, also it is worth paying attention to the history of personal meetings, but how to use the information correctly? What is the weight of each factor? Today we will answer all the questions posed.

Current form of the team: how to evaluate?

Many players use superficial statistics, focusing only on the final results.  “The game is forgotten – the result remains”, – the phrase is quite relevant for the broad masses, but with regard to the bets it is a big mistake.

The match score does not always reflect the events that took place.  Unrealized points, doubtful goals and removals, the odds of possession of the ball often remain behind the scenes, and after all it is the meeting’s plot that is most valuable.

Therefore, it is important to use extended statistical data when analyzing, or to look at at least match reviews.  Unrealized points can later turn into goals, so the odds of dangerous moments is much more informative than the score on the scoreboard.

In this respect, xG (Expected goals) maps will be useful, as well as statistics from Squawka, which shows the range of the strike and its accuracy.  Those.  if the conditional “Granada” lost in the last away meeting with a score of 4: 0, not realizing a lot of good moments, then in a home match the team can realize its potential.

The main emphasis is on the previous 2 games, and at the same time to see how the team feels at home and at home.  The last duel is more important: the shorter the time interval between games, the more accurate the data we get.

How to analyze football

Many sports fans are wondering how to analyze football correctly, let’s look at the main points:

1. Very important is the motivation of the team. This factor is influenced by such factors as: the tournament position, the participation of the team in additional drawings, as well as the status of the match – an official game or a friendly game.

So strong teams can lose even to outsiders, depending on the tasks set by the leadership before the team – be it a victory in the cup, or the hope to “keep a residence permit” in a particular league.  In the same case, if the event you have chosen is a “derby match”, then it is better to reconsider other factors, because this is a fundamental confrontation which very often does not depend on the location of teams and tasks.

2. It is equally important to determine the form of teams at the time of betting. The fact is that every team, be it a leader, a “middle peasant” or an outsider, during the season there are both ups and downs in the game.
3. The venue of the match can also significantly affect the outcome. So when playing at home, the team can show a much better result, because the support of fans plays an important role, and the fitness for the game on its field is much higher.  Although there are exceptions, there are teams that are considered “exit”.
4. Viewing personal meetings, it would seem not so much an important factor, because it does not reflect the real strength of rivals, but there is such a thing as an “uncomfortable rival” – a team with which it is impossible to achieve a decent result, regardless of the current strength. Despite the fact that the statistics thing is stubborn, it is sooner or later violated, so keep this fact in mind.
5. It is necessary to take into account the composition of opponents, as the presence of certain players, which may be absent for various reasons, affects the game of the team.
6. The study of news from the rival camp can also give a lot of interesting information affecting the performance – injuries, disqualifications, conflicts within the team, dismissal or appointment of the head coach.
7. It will also be useful to watch previous matches, because very often even with a wonderful game the team may simply not be lucky, as a result – knowledge of the account of previous matches is not enough.

The history of personal meetings: instructions for use

Data on the history of team relationships is much less operational, therefore, they have less weight than the current form.  Even for six months from the team can happen important transfers, the resignation of coaches, and, accordingly, the game style will change.  If we talk about matches that took place 3-4 years ago, then they have virtually no value, and therefore, they should not be taken into account.  For 10-15 years – even more so.

Another reason why personal meetings of teams is less significant is the possible inconsistency between the current form of the team and the state in which the club was approaching the previous internal meeting.  Whether it is a little, the schedule dense or with structure of a problem.

For example, if Madrid “Real” to the last match with “Atletico” approached with significant losses of players and not in the best shape, losing in the end with a score of 4: 0, now, being in the best condition, he is able to play much better.

Well, or remember about “Anji”, which sold out almost the whole composition and changed the head coach.  In this case, information about the first round matches automatically becomes irrelevant.

Therefore, it is extremely important in studying the history of personal meetings to pay attention to the state of the team at the time of the game.  Well, of course, it is desirable to make sure whether the score was fair on the scoreboard, whether it was different from the game drawing.  If suddenly the team lost, but the game looked no worse, then the chances of a rematch are high enough.

These are, perhaps, the main factors that should be taken into account when making an analysis of the match.  But there are a number of additional, less important factors that can in some way affect the outcome – weather conditions, changes in quotations, transfers of matches and more.  In case you have chosen a different kind of sport, then you just have to apply these rules, while making some adjustments depending on the features of the selected species.

And most importantly for sports forecasting – in no case do not get excited, and do not try to instantly win back the money that was lost before.  This will necessarily lead to negative results and the loss of your funds.