Forecasts for Sport: Errors While Using Statistics

Most of the players are constantly losing, and only a few can steadily beat the bookmaker. There are many different tips that will allow you to win at the office. However, the main mistake of the players is that they do not know how to work with statistics. As a result, their sports forecasts turn out to be wrong and do not bring the desired result.

Immediately it should be noted that statistics is not a panacea, so do not rely entirely on statistics that do not reflect the whole picture.

Advantage of modern players

Today, players have a tremendous advantage. Thanks to the Internet, even a novice player can easily collect statistics for the last 10-20 years, which will allow him to more carefully compose free forecasts for sports. Thousands of sites are ready to provide reliable data ten years ago. If necessary, players can see the replay of any match.

Earlier, when making forecasts for sports free of charge, players often had to exchange information among themselves. Often it happened directly in the bookmakers, where everyone tried to argue their own opinions, relying on their experience, knowledge and some sports publications. But even in those days, betters could often break the jackpot in the bookmakers.

Thus, statistics will help only those players who will apply it wisely. This “formidable weapon” is available to every newcomer. It should immediately be stipulated that even experts in betting companies do not always correctly use statistical data. Therefore, you can see arbs in offices.

You can improve in this direction as long as you want, until your free sports forecasts begin to bring a huge profit.

Mistake # 1 – incorrect interpretation of the statistics of face-to-face meetings

Few of the novice players spend a few hours a day to collect the necessary information before making a bet. Many are convinced that when betting on football matches, one can manage only the statistics of face-to-face meetings. However, in reality it does not reflect the actual state of things, because of which sports forecasts are rendered ineffective for free.

Especially this applies to cases where the teams rarely cross each other. For example, FC Chelsea can meet FC Real Madrid only in the Champions League match. Accordingly, their statistics of face-to-face meetings is purely conditional, since the last time they can play against each other 5 years ago.

Using the statistics of face-to-face meetings, you should not look further than two years.

Alternative use of statistics of private meetings

Such statistics can be used not only to determine the favorite of the meeting, but also to assess the strength of the team. As an example, you can consider two teams: Manchester United FC and FC Manchester City. These teams often make daily free predictions for sports.

Over the past ten years, the Red Devils have far outnumbered city dwellers. However, a couple of years ago, thanks to large financial investments, Manchester City FC was able to add much, while the level of the game became consistent with the MJ. Thus, Manchester City has excellent chances to outplay those teams that lose to Manchester United. As a result, Manchester City became the Premier League champion of 2013/2014. Those who know how to make forecasts for sports events, of course, could foresee this.

Note that this approach is most appropriate to use exclusively in the national championship.

Mistake # 2 – small sample for forecasts

This is a fairly common mistake not only among beginners, but also with certain experience. The bottom line is that only the data of the last 2-3 matches are used to compose a free forecast for sports events. Undoubtedly, no experienced and self-respecting better can call this forecast objective.

Among the shortcomings of this approach is the lack of consideration for the gradation of teams. The fact is that when using such statistics it is more important not simply to take into account the result of the meeting, for example, the win or loss, but the strength of the team that the football club had to face.

Thus, the last three matches the team could lose to strong clubs, but the next match she will play with an outsider. Accordingly, the results of the three matches will not in any way affect the outcome of the next event. Therefore, when drawing up a sports forecast for the sport, it is necessary to analyze each event more deeply.

General recommendations

There is no single successful tactic. Each better, as a rule, acts solely based on their own experience and knowledge. Of course, when it comes to making sports predictions for sports, there are a number of factors that must be taken into account.

1. Position in the standings.
   By the middle of the season the betters have a definite opinion on almost every team. It becomes more clear which of the teams has an excellent chance of winning the championship. Thus, the position in the standings will allow to determine in some matches an obvious leader and an outsider.
2. The form of the teams.
   The rise and fall necessarily replace each other. The main task of the better when drawing up free sports forecasts for sports is to correctly determine the form of the team. To do this, it is important to follow the team for the last 5-6 games, not just to use statistics.
3. Players.
   Information about injured players often plays a key role in the game. The lack of key players has often affected the outcome of the meeting, despite the fact that football is a team sport.
4. Motivation.
   The most difficult factor for evaluation. To determine the level of motivation of the team, it is necessary to understand what atmosphere reigns in the locker room. In this case, it is often necessary to monitor the team or player in the media.
5. Status of the tournament.
   Free best sports forecasts are compiled with due regard to the status of the championship. For example, in England the victory in the national championship is more appreciated, rather than the European League. Accordingly, in the second tournament, the coach can try to set an experimental composition or give rest to key players.
6. Time of year.
   Many championships begin in August. It’s pretty hard to assess the strength of the team after the off-season, so at the beginning of the championship, football clubs often show phenomenal results.

All of this is extremely important to consider, if you want free predictions for the tote brought you a profit!