How to Bet on Friendly Matches in Football?
Friendly games of football teams are significantly different from official confrontations. In them, there is no outrageous motivation and heat of passion, and unexpected results happen much more often. Bets on friendly matches can be justified if you carefully prepare for them.
Key features of friendly matches
Motivation, especially at the last minute
In important matches, in particular in popular championships and Eurocups, the teams are fighting to the last. Therefore, it is often possible to observe how one of the teams “pulls out” hopeless fights. Toward the end of the game, the losing players go all-in, throw all their forces at the attack and forget about the defense.
The friendly meetings in this respect are markedly different. Players lack motivation and they do not have a goal to win any valuable. With the approach of the final whistle the game does not change – the pace remains the same, the teams do not take particular risks.
Experiments of coaches
Friendly matches for team tutors are a springboard for experiments, an opportunity to check out new schemes, tactics and players close to real conditions. Some performers are located in unusual positions, new ligatures are being played or the composition is being played. The outcome of the confrontation is not primary. Much more important is the game of defense and attack, a quick transition from defensive to attacking, the effectiveness of the tactical model and the quality of the game.
Second times
In friendly matches, you can make up to 12 substitutions, if they are held under the auspices of FIFA. Usually, after the first half, completely different compositions appear on the field.
Mass substitutions can be held not in the break, but gradually – throughout the entire match. They are ways to influence the end result. For example, you can remember comrade second match against Sweden and England. It is the one in which Ibrahimovic scored through himself from outside the penalty area. At the 78th minute the Swedes were inferior 1: 2, but the meeting ended with their triumph 4: 2. This is not a coincidence, because a few minutes before Sweden played out, the British held a triple substitution.
Fixed games
Friendly games – the gold mine for the organizers of contractual events. The number of contractual matches in games that are meaningless, in terms of results, is very high. This is especially noticeable in the games of unpopular teams and African and Asian teams. They have a potential earnings for draining the game more than the salary several times, so it’s not surprising that many athletes agree to various frauds. Climb into such fights – risky and unprofitable. Do not be surprised if 10 minutes are added to the compensated time and during this period there will be several deletions, a penalty and not only.
Do not be afraid of contractual events in TOP teams and the best teams, where players earn well, so they will not risk their reputation and place in the team for small “work-outs”.
Exceptionally live betting
Forecasting a «comradely x match to her «before the start of the fight is a sad occupation. To choose a successful bet, you need to see the starting line-ups and understand how they are motivated for the upcoming match. The initial 15-20 minutes will allow to assess the level of training of teams, and based on this conclusion, make a forecast for further developments.
This does not mean that you do not need to disassemble bets before the match starts. It is necessary, just put after watching the beginning of the fight. Also remember that after massive substitutions, the picture on the field can dramatically change.
How to bet on friendly games?
Do not bet on favorites for a scanty coefficient
Bet on the clear favorite in friendly matches, also for funny quotations, is more than unreasonable. The outcome of the meeting is not as important as working out the quality of the game – this was mentioned above. Therefore, if you decide to bet on insignificant matches, flirt decent coefficients.
Totals
It is easier to destroy than to create. And if the players go on the field relaxed, then this relaxation is more evident in the line of attack, rather than defense. Yes, and statistics confirms that the number of high and low matches in friendly matches, about the same.
Bottoms in top team matches
When analyzing events between top teams, it is required to understand who needs victory more. Usually tasks are equivalent, like the strength of opponents, so sometimes it is advantageous to flirt with a draw. Also in such meetings traditionally there are few goals scored, especially if the matches are held not in the off-season, but in pauses arising in the championships.
Champions of friendly matches
There are teams and coaches who always have a serious attitude towards friendly matches. I remember the team of Ukraine, regardless of the coach, professed the defensive manner of the game, which did not stop in friendly matches. Exceptions were meetings with dwarf countries, and even then, not always. Ukrainians often won, but did it modestly and traditionally scored a little. Now the team was headed by Andriy Shevchenko – the first mentor who tries to instill attacking football. Let’s see what happens.
Earlier and Spantsi also considered the king of comradely x match it, like the Russian national team, until there was a change of generations.
What to pay attention to when betting on a friendly match?
- The motivation for outsiders is much higher. If some unknown team will beat, say, Spartak, for them it will be an achievement, as well as a way to raise team spirit.
- Do not be afraid to bet on underdogs, despite the fact that bookmakers underestimate their quotes. For example, the real odds should be 12, but the bureau issues 7. 5.
- Even a friendly match can be of principle. Let’s say a duel between Spartacus and CSKA. If we consider such games, then not as comradely, but as quite official.
- Young and reserve players will be laid out to the maximum – this is their chance to show themselves and get into the main line-up.
- With the advent of the new coach, the team will want to show itself as much as possible – this is a new coaching staff, which once again needs to prove its professional worth. In addition, the mentor himself will not want to start his work with defeats, even in friendly encounters.
- If the players play without spectators, they do not score a lot. Few people see the sense of giving 100% when these efforts are not appreciated by the fans. Therefore, the team quietly run across the lawn, implement some of the trainer’s settings. Hammered balls in these games – this is superfluous.
- Avoid bets on meetings, where the class of rivals is radically different. For example, the leader of the Bundesliga plays against the national team of an enterprise. In such a match, there can be many things: the expected defeat, the favorites bring the enemy and finish the meeting with a draw, or “give up” the fight to the hard workers. The margin for such events is very high, since the bookmaker wants to be safe from possible losses.
- If the team plays shortly before the start of the regular season or before an important game, it will not show anything impressive. Football players gently run across the lawn and pamper with the ball. Nobody will waste energy, besides, there is a chance to get injured, but who needs this before an important event?
The betting strategy for friendly matches
- Initially, we select a meeting of top teams.
- We perform a thorough analysis and record potentially passable forecasts.
- The initial 20 minutes evaluate the compositions that are exhibited for the match, see the level of the game, motivation and attitude. Based on the information received, we forecast the scenario of the match.
- We conclude a bet, but not for the whole match, but at the first half. After the break, the compositions can change, and with them the picture of the game.
- You can bet on any markets: the outcome, total , statistics. The main thing is that the transaction should be considered and analyzed in detail.
Is it worth to bet on friendly matches?
Betting for friendly matches is a dangerous gamble. The main problem is that it is almost impossible to make an objective analysis of statistics, since it does not exist, and even if it is, it is not so important. Most often the result is unpredictable.
If you want to consistently earn on the bets, it is advisable to avoid betting on friendly games – it’s too risky to constantly play them. At the distance, the risk is unlikely to be justified.