Is it Worth Trusting Paid Sports Predictions?

In this article, we will consider the most important nuances that exist when using paid forecasts.

Today, the Internet is simply filled with offers for the sale of paid forecasts for sporting events.

Betting on the Internet is a gold mine not only for the bookmakers themselves, but also a paradise for scammers who impersonate successful forecasters and try to attract the attention of gullible players in every possible way. Access to paid forecasts can be implemented in various ways. They can be received through letters by e-mail, SMS or directly from a website that offers paid mailing.

Let’s start with scammers

The intentions of individuals or companies offering us forecasts from a paid newsletter are primarily designed for the naivety and incompetence of the players. Relying on the “drawn” statistics players see in the toll projections, easy profit, and expect to have a decent income from bets for the past and the first month of the game. But such a simple and easy “earning” in betting shops does not exist. And this is regardless of whether we will use paid forecasts or the best betting strategies.

In order to have a stable profit from sports betting, you don’t have to rush to find the most profitable newsletters. First you need to get theoretical knowledge and experience, choose the best strategy suitable for you. If you carefully review all of the material on our website — we guarantee you will not need any cappers or their mails. You can earn money in betting shops yourself!

We do not want to say at all that all cappers selling their forecasts are scammers. On the Internet, there are quite a few very reliable websites and services that sell its forecast for the and years. Such forecast mailings have archived statistics confirmed by verifiers. The authors of such newsletters have authority among subscribers. They often communicate in specialized forums where they have respect. Such cappers and their mailings are the most reliable source of information.

The problem is that it is very difficult to find an adequate and reliable source of paid forecasts, since they make up a tiny percentage of the total number of all mailings. If we take into account that professional players make up no more than 1% of all players of bookmakers, then of this 1% are engaged in sales — units.

Learn how to choose a reliable capper

The sad thing is that the vast majority of all other mailing list authors do not even have basic knowledge in betting. They don’t even have an elementary idea of ​​ROI, and put “passability” as the basis for the success of their bets.

It’s funny when a capper offers to buy such forecasts as: high-passing forecast, golden accumulator, VIP forecast, etc. Already by such proposals it is easy to identify fraudsters without delving further into the archive of their forecasts.

Paid sports betting newsletters usually have several subscription options that are designed for players, depending on the “wallet size” of subscribers. Possible 1-day, weekly, monthly subscription, subscription to specific types of bets or sports. There are also piecewise paid forecasts.

Forecasts are usually sent by e-mail, in the form of SMS or simply become available on the website after prepayment.

What are the benefits of selling forecasts?

Observing and inquisitive players often ask: “Why does a person who has such good results sells forecasts, if they already make money?”

The main reasons for selling forecasts by successful players:

1. If these are forecasts for small markets, then the player rests on the limits of bookmakers. In addition, betting on the maximum possible amount on these markets is not always liked by bookmakers. After large and frequent bets, cutting the account may follow. Therefore, it’s very reasonable for a capper to bet a relatively small amount of money on the predicted outcome, and to “finish off” part of the profit at the expense of subscribers. Cappers specializing in rare kinds of sports in general sometimes can’t bet more than $15-20 on the outcome. That is, they can have ROI within 20 % but not have sufficient profit due to small limits.
2. Cappers living in those countries whose laws prohibit betting in betting shops. In the corresponding field when registering in a betting shop, even their country is missing. In case of violation of the prohibition, these actions are strictly prohibited by law. It turns out that cappers have no way to place bets on their own, even on the Internet. Creating a paid newsletter in this case becomes quite logical.
3. Beginners are successful players who do not have a sufficient amount of game bank. Usually, such cappers offer their services through the forecast verifier, since it is in their interests to earn credibility for their newsletter.

Should you buy paid forecasts?

Not every profitable sports forecast can bring you success.

Remember — even paid forecasts of successful cappers are not a guarantee of your profit!

The network has many stories when cappers, after having acquired a large number of subscribers, went to a big minus and the entire game bank was lost.

However, in parallel with this, cases where players selling forecasts take responsibility for the money of their subscribers and give a guarantee of profit for a certain time are not uncommon. This contributes to their self-discipline and responsibility.

If we find a reliable source of paid forecasts with good income, we should have a sufficient game bank, because the final profit should still cover the cost of mailing. Given that high-quality paid mailings have an average price of about $80-100 per month, for a tangible income, our game bank should be more than $1000, since the average ROI of successful mailings is approximately + 7-10%.

Consequently, not every novice player can afford such a pot size.

Let’s move on to an example that will give you a better understanding of investing in sports betting through paid forecast newsletters.

Let’s say we signed up for a paid newsletter for $100 per month. The newsletter has a profitability of ROI + 10%, and the amount of the bet on an individual rate is 3% of the amount of the bank. The average number of forecasts is 100pcs per month.

Calculate the profitability:

1. $30 (3% of the bet amount) x 100 (number of forecasts) = $3,000 (amount of turnover).
2. Subtract 10% (return on turnover) from 3000 (invested amount) = $300 (money won).
3. Subtract $100 for the mailing price: $300 – $100 = $200.

If we take into account that due to certain conditions we will make a profit at the end of the month 20-30% less than the marque index, then using a bank of $1000 it’s not advisable to use paid mailings.

But if we have a significantly larger amount of money for investing, we will not always have the expected return. Already at bets of $100 on the outcome, we may encounter the problem of the maximum bid in the shop, especially on small markets. Therefore, when choosing a capper this moment also needs to be taken into account.

A common mistake of novice players is a rash subscription to forecasts, having at their disposal a bank of only $100-200, or even less. They are ready to give $100 for a subscription and have the same for the game. In order to “beat off” the profit for the newsletter and have additional income, they begin to bet 10% of the bank on the bet instead of the recommended 2-3%. Attempts to get rich due to paid forecasts with a small bank available lead to collapse. This happens due to a lack of knowledge in the basic theoretical knowledge of sports betting.

In order not to make such mistakes, we recommend that you study some information: what is bankroll, overbetting, discipline of bets, ROI, betting distance, margin.

Paid forecasts. Underwater rocks!

It would seem that the earnings strategy for paid forecasts is easy and understandable — buy a newsletter, deposit money into an account in a shop, repeat bets for a professional player, and withdraw money earned in a shop at the end of the month. But not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance. And here we do not even take into account the size of the game bank.

Inevitable problems that we will face when betting on paid tips.

Problem number 1. Odds drop

By purchasing forecasts from a trusted source, we are familiar with its profitability over the long haul. However, we can be sure that in our case the income will be the same as in the mailing statistics.

This is explained by the fact that the owners of the newsletter usually give us odds an order of magnitude higher than those for which we will manage to place bets. For example: the odds in the board is 1.95, but in fact in the line we will see 1.87. And such will happen in 90% of cases. The drop in the odds immediately after the release of paid distribution occurs in connection with:

1. Before sending a forecast, as a rule, a capper stakes on this event on their own. After that, the odds will decrease depending on the amount of the bet and the betting market.
2. Subscribers bend the line. If the newsletter has a good profit, it means that it has subscribers who try to place a bet at the most favorable bet as quickly as possible. (The principle is the same as in the first paragraph).
3. The bookmakers themselves adjust the line and omit the odds. The staff of the betting shop has people responsible for adjusting the line. Their duty is to keep abreast of all sports news. If we take into account that 99% success in profit from bets consists in finding fresh information and searching for overestimated odds, then the tasks of bookmakers are similar. They also track information on: injuries, removals, changes in composition, weather conditions and adjust the odds.

Therefore, if high-quality forecasts became available to you at 12-00, and you did not have time to immediately bet on them, then after 20-30 minutes, the odds on them will already be pretty squandered! The better the forecast, the more significant a drop in the odds is observed. As an option — try to manage to make a bet immediately upon the release of the forecast. It will not be superfluous to have accounts in several bookmakers with a low margin, but this also does not guarantee that the odds there will be higher each time.

Problem number 2. Cutting the game account.

Betting after cappers means making smart bets. Since after such bets sudden odds drop happens, and at the opposite odds at the time of a sudden “load”, a bookmaker is forced to increase quotes. Thus, they do not have time to accept bets for balance and have no profit from margin. It turns out that because of such bets, a bookmaker is at risk. As a necessary measure — the application of sanctions, in the form of cutting the account to “non-random” players.

After reducing the betting limit to economically disadvantageous limits, the game becomes inappropriate. For bets on the advice of professional players, bookmakers can cut an account at any time during bets. This can happen both in 1-3 days and in a month of bets, it all depends on: a bookmaker, on the type of bets and their markets, the size of a bet, the number of bets, profit, etc.

If betting limits will be “dropped” into the flow and the first days of the subscription we spent on it money, alas, won’t get back. You can try to register a new account with friends or relatives and try to play there, but first you need to withdraw money from the first account. It takes time to do this. When requesting money for payment, a bookmaker will require us to go through the verification of the account: provide a photo of a passport or driver’s license, certificates for utility services, etc. Verification of an account can take from 3 days up to 2 months.

Conclusions

The decision to purchase paid forecasts should be well thought out and mathematically justified. You should know that paid forecasts of even an honest and good capper are never a guarantee of profit in bets.