Most Important Part of Sports Betting

Some players make small bets for their own pleasure, they periodically win or lose. But there are professional betters for whom bookmaker bets are the main income. They put a lot of money and skillfully apply various strategies, including a lot of risky ones, but they can bring big winnings. There are also win-win options, but giving a small income. Consider the main types of strategies, as well as the sports in which they are applied.

More about strategies

Some strategies have been known for a long time, they are used by both beginners and experienced betters. Others are independently developed by the players themselves, using a classic base. But it is necessary to apply strategies, otherwise the better runs the risk of splurging, getting into debt in the hope of recouping. Not understanding the principles on which bookmaker companies operate, the better simply bets on their favorite teams without analyzing the game statistics and odds. And as a result – loses.

Strategies are based on experience, mathematical calculations, and therefore help in most cases to make a profit. But you must strictly follow the rules, otherwise the strategy will not work if you suddenly change tactics in the middle of a cycle.

Conventionally, all strategies can be divided into:

  • math;
  • financial.

If you correctly combine these two types, you can achieve significant success in the world of betting. Experienced players are advised to make bets in a calm state, on a sober head, otherwise no strategy will help. It is categorically forbidden to make bets immediately after a loss, which obscures the mind more than alcoholic beverages.

To implement almost all strategies you need to have an impressive bank. It is desirable to immediately allocate this money from the general budget. Professional betters never play debt and do not borrow money for betting.

Sports strategies

Each sport uses its own strategies, this is due to different rules of the games. There are those that are suitable for all types of sporting events. Let us consider in more detail what strategies are used for specific sports.

Football betting strategies

According to statistics, football in bookmakers accounts for a large proportion of bets. The rules of this game are known even to children. Of course, no capper can 100% guess the outcome of a fight, and using only strategies is not smart without analyzing the games.

The latest sports news will not be superfluous either: a better must always be aware of the athletic form of football players, injuries of players/goalkeepers, replacements of coaches, etc.

Most often, the following strategies are used in football:

  • Martingale. It is also referred to as hard martingale. Martingale – a financial strategy, so it is successfully combined with others. It can be used in bets on a net outcome, on totals, on odds, on odd/even.
  • Outcome strategy. There are several varieties of it. But the principle is based on bets on the most likely outcome.
  • Arb. One of the most famous strategies. The difficulty of its implementation lies in finding suitable ratios in different bookmakers. Arb – most often used when two teams of approximately the same strength play.
  • Corridor. Refers to classic strategies. Bets are placed on opposite numerical values ​​of the outcomes (totals, handicaps). They should cover as wide range as possible.
  • Dallas strategy. Only applies to bets in live mode. Based on the observation of the game and bets on the individual total. The method works only in matches favorite/outsider.
  • Oscar Grind strategy. Also applies to financial, a bit like Martingale. Successfully combined with other species.

Not all strategies are listed here. The rest are based on the stakes on any particular outcome: on draws, on goals in the first half, on the favorite, even or odd, on corner ones, etc.

Tennis betting strategies

There are much less tennis fans than football fans, and therefore bets on this sport are made less often. The rules of this sport are very different from football, so different strategies are used. But financial strategies, such as Martingale and Oscar Grind, are also used in tennis.

Arbs and corridors are also permissible in tennis. They are used in bets on total and game odds (sets).

An interesting strategy is the total Under in the second set. In tennis there is such a feature that if in the first set there was a bitter struggle, and tennis players played more than 10 games, then in the second set there will be less than 10 (10.5). The strategy is applied only in live.

Points – an example of a purely mathematical strategy. It is based on the calculation of the player’s personal odds, based on the results of the previous meeting.

Outcome strategy is also used in tennis, but careful selection of games is needed. In women’s tennis it is impractical to use, male games or with mixed pairs are preferable.

Basketball betting strategies

In basketball, a large number of points scored by teams per game, so the range of totals is very wide. This creates excellent conditions for the corridor strategy. Classic arb can also be used, especially when playing two teams of equal strength.

Most popular strategies are used in live mode. This is a bet on an outsider in the quarter, on an even or odd number of points in a quarter, Over or Under in a quarter. All of them must be combined with financial strategies, otherwise you may incur losses.

Outcome strategy is also used in basketball at regular bets. To calculate it, it is better to use a special calculator, since statistical data have large numerical values.

Hockey betting strategies

Bets on this sport are the second most popular after football. For hockey, the same strategies are used as for football, since the principles of games are similar. Another frequently used strategy in this sport is 60+. It is based on the division of the bank into 5 parts. Even if one bet out of five plays, the better will remain in the black. All kinds of martingales for periods, arbs and corridors are also popular.

The movement strategy of the Bob MacCon line was invented by the famous American capper. He proposes to bet on sagging odds. In hockey, this strategy has found the greatest application.

Another specific strategy for hockey is Over 1.5 in the period. It works due to the fact that in hockey there is practically no zero score. Pucks constantly scored by favorites and outsiders.

Volleyball betting strategies

Volleyball has its own rules of the game, so not all strategies used for football and hockey are suitable for it. But Corridors and arbs often allow you to win in this kind of sports.

Experienced betters advise to apply strategies for volleyball only in Live. It is believed that they work better in this mode. The strategy of betting on the underdog (weak team) in the game is often used. It works in most cases, because the leader does not always beat the opponent dry. This strategy is always combined with soft martingale.

Exclusively in volleyball another strategy is used. It is a bit similar to outcome strategy, and is used only in live, when the teams score is 23:23 or 13:13 (only in the fifth installment).

Baseball betting strategies

Baseball is very popular in the United States, betters from Europe are not too keen on them. The rules of the game are incomprehensible to most betting lovers, so they bypass this sport. And the bets on this sport in the national BS occupy the last places. But the problem is that bookmakers do not really bother to form odds for baseball, so there is a great chance to raise money well.

In baseball, outcome strategy is applied, but adapted to this sport. Bets are made on the victory of the outsider, and the victory of the leader with a negative handicap. It turns out a kind of arb.

Especially for baseball professional capper Tony Staffo has developed his own system. It consists in betting on an outsider in matches selected by statistical data.

The strategy works due to the fact that outsiders of baseball competitions lose only in 60% of matches.

Strategy bets on other sports

Financial strategies such as Martingale, Oscar Grind and others work absolutely in all sports. It does not matter: a bet on a net victory is made, total, even/odd. Arbs and corridors are based solely on preliminary mathematical calculations and analyzes of the murals of various BS. But they can also be used in all sports.

In boxing, the early betting strategy is applied. But it is only used in super heavyweight contests.

In boxing, the early betting strategy is applied. But it is used only in super heavyweight contests, because here such an outcome is most likely. Some betters are addicted to the strategy of betting on a draw, but in boxing it is unlikely, so it will take a long time to wait for a win.

In motor racing, especially strategies do not apply, there is no such big mural, as in other sports. Betters practice betting on expresses or just a clear victory, but the odds on such an outcome are small. You can combine these types of bets with Martingale.

Chess – an intellectual sport, and therefore bets on it require careful analysis of meetings, studying the features of the game of chess players. The most used strategy is a bet on a draw, which often ends chess games. It also combines martingale.

How to increase the success rate in bets?

Improving the percentage of success in betting will help observance of simple rules:

  1. You need to choose only a reliable betting company. Often such BS have lower odds. But this disadvantage is more than compensated for by the smooth payments of winnings and fast withdrawal/deposit of money. Sites of reliable BS work without brakes and lags, which is very important when betting in live.
  2. You need to choose one particular sport for which you plan to bet. It is necessary to carefully collect and analyze statistics, follow the news, watch matches. If there are no specific preferences in sports, then experienced betters recommend choosing football, where the outcomes are more or less predictable.
  3. Do not give in to emotions. You can follow the game of your favorite team, but you only need to bet on matches with their participation after careful checking of the opponent. If he is stronger or equal in strength, then it is better not to bet on this game at all. Professional betters never put on their favorites. Also, do not bet on unfamiliar teams.
  4. It is necessary to follow the strategies accurately and not to increase the amount of bets, even if the better has an extremely good day, and they enter one after another.
  5. You do not need to spend money on paid forecasts, they are written only for the sake of monetary gain, often they have nothing to do with the expected outcome. You can read free predictions that are published on sports portals, but you shouldn’t trust them too. Sometimes it is better to rely on your own intuition and observation of players or teams.

How to choose a win-win strategy?

Some betters claim that there are no win-win strategies, others say that they do exist. Even if you bet every time to win a favorite against a weak team, you can lose. For example, in football competitions it is possible if a weak team buys ten of world football stars right before the match, or the players of a strong club will not tolerate the climate of the country in which the game is played. Simultaneous injuries of the goalkeeper and the attackers have not played on anyone’s hand.

Conditionally win-win strategy can be considered arb. In it, bets are made in different BS, and the better wins in any case, even if not too much. But if for any reason the bookmaker decides to cancel the bet, then the betting lover will face a decent loss. The reasons may be suspicions of fraud, technical problems, special provisions of the rules of the BS, and the banal scam on the part of not too honest bookmaker.

Starting to make the first bet, the better must try out different strategies. At first you can put the minimum amount allowed by the bookmaker. With the accumulation of experience and ability to analyze games, the better can develop its own strategy, which, perhaps, will be 100% win-win.

Best betting strategies

Consider the best strategies that are used by professional betters, and have proven themselves.

Overlapping all outcomes

The strategy of overlapping all outcomes is relevant for games where there are no draws. Football and hockey are definitely not suitable, but in basketball, tennis, you can try it. A boxing match is also suitable when there is a fight for a champion title, and the fight cannot end in a draw.

With the overlap of all outcomes, the better is guaranteed to win, regardless of whose victory the competition ended. The essence of the strategy is that it is necessary to distribute the bank in such a way that during the passage approximately the same result will be obtained. For example, in the BBL championship, the teams Oldenburg and Alba Berlin played. The odds for winning the first club were 4.33, and for winning the second – 1.62. With a bank of 100 euros, one should bet 27 euros on the first team win and 73 euros on the second one. After calculations, you can see that we get the following amounts:

  • 27х4.33 = 116.91 euros, net profit will be 16.91 euros;
  • 73×1.62 = 118.26 euros, of which net profit is 18.26 euros.

Of course, it is necessary to select the maximum odds for events in different betting companies. Some betters recommend collecting expresses on the same principle, but this should be done very carefully.

In this strategy, the main rule is to correctly calculate the amount of bets, therefore, it cannot be implemented in live. Odds are constantly changing there, and, in a hurry, you can incorrectly calculate the amount of bets.

Favorite betting

Bets on the favorite of the competition – this is one of the safest strategies. Its principle is to put large sums on leaders. This is because the bookmaker offers rather low odds on strong teams/players. For example, if you bet 100 dollars, you can win 1-30 dollars, but if you bet for 1000 dollars, then there is a chance to get 300 dollars, which is clearly better than 30 dollars.

Initially, this strategy was developed by the bakers for football, but gradually it migrated to other sports. In hockey, basketball, it can be used, but it is better to refrain from betting on tennis by this method – there the results are more unpredictable. It is better to test this strategy on football, with matches being chosen where the favorite is clear.

Principles of the system:

  • You need to bet on a proven team, the games of which the better saw. The bookmaker can specifically underestimate the odds when meeting not very famous clubs.
  • The odds for winning of a leader must be no higher than 1.55.
  • The odds for an outsider to win must be at least 2 times as high as 1.55.

If the teams meet all the criteria, the better conducts a thorough analysis of the future game: finds out if there are no injured players, like previous meetings, where both clubs are located in the standings. When testing the strategy, it was found out that if you bet on the favorite blindly only according to the criteria, then about 40% do not enter.

Outsider victory in the quarter

This strategy applies only to basketball in live mode. The principle is this: in the first quarter, the better relies on the victory of a weaker team. If the bet has not passed, then it doubles the amount and puts it on the next quarter. You need to act in this way until the bet passes, and then you have to return to the original amount. That is, this strategy is combined with Martingale (more about it will be described later).

Statistics show that the bet passes in almost 80% of cases in the first quarter. So, acting according to this strategy, you can regularly win, because it is extremely rare for a favorite to win in all four quarters.

But if the bet still does not win in one match, the amount is still doubled and transferred to the next match. There are several dozen meetings per day in basketball, especially during the regular seasons. Therefore, it will work out very quickly. But there are limitations that must be adhered to:

  • You should bet only on men’s basketball competitions, in women’s matches the struggle is absolutely unpredictable. Outsiders after the first loss in a quarter can be completely suppressed, and all other quarters will “merge”.
  • In a tournament where the game is frankly weak, you should not bet too. These are the championships of the Philippines, Malaysia and other countries where basketball is not very developed. It is best suited for bets NBA games, in which the outsider is not particularly inferior to the leader in strength.
  • If you play very different clubs, it is also better to refrain from betting. One of the contraindications is the odds to win a weaker team over 7.00.

Martingale

Martingale – a classic financial strategy, which is based on an increase in the bet when you lose, and return to its original value when you win. Martingale is subdivided into soft and hard. When using Martingale bet every time on one event. For example, the total is more, an even number of goals, an outsider victory in the first quarter, etc. If you change the event for which you bet every time, the strategy will not work. Martingale is successfully used in football, hockey, tennis, basketball, and even racing.

Hard Martingale has its own specifics, so it will be considered separately. The amount of the bet with soft Martingale is calculated by the formula: (X + Y):( K-1) = S

Decryption formulas:

  • X – the amount that the better wishes to win;
  • Y – the amount of the bet that has already been lost;
  • K – odds of the event for which the bet is planned;
  • S – the amount to be better.

It should be remembered that in the case of soft Martingale, bets are placed only on outcomes whose odds are lower than 2.00.

Let us examine the soft Martingale by example. We plan to bet on the victory of the hockey team with odds of 1.83. Estimated winnings – 10 dollars, earlier we already lost 20 dollars.

We make calculations:

(10 + 20):(1.83-1) = 30:0.83 = 36.14

Consequently, the bet is 36 dollars and 14 cents. If the bet passes, then we get:

36.14×1.83 = 66.13

Check the data:

66.13-36.14 = 29.99, that is, we have the same 30 dollars, 20 – which we have already lost, and 10 – which were planned to win.

Arb

Arb – the most famous theoretically win-win strategy. To implement it, you need to register on 5 betting sites, and better 10 in order to be able to deposit at any time and make a bet. The strategy requires concentration and constant comparison of odds, therefore in live it is advisable not to use it.

The principle of strategy is betting on one event, but on different outcomes. For example, on odd/even, the victory of the first and second teams, etc. It is necessary to find opposite outcomes in different BS with odds greater than two. Usually, if there are two equal in strength rivals, then one bookmaker may have a higher odds ratio for the first, and another bookmaker – for the second.

Let’s give a simple example. In the UEFA League Championship of Nations teams of Kazakhstan and Armenia play. One bookmaker set a factor of 2.60 for the victory of Kazakhstan, while the other for the victory of Armenia offers a factor of 2.73. If we bet $100 for each team, the following winnings are possible:

  • 100×2.60 = 260 dollars
  • 100×2.73 = 273 dollars

That is, in any case, the net profit will be 60 or 73 dollars. But in this situation, a draw is also possible, so you need to find a third site, where a high ratio is given for a draw. But then the amount of bets must be calculated separately. It is better to use a special calculator for this purpose. Or you can bet on sports where there is no draw: tennis, basketball.

There are arbs not explicit, but hidden. Some odds may be greater than 2.00, and the other – less. How to find out if there is an arb? People who knows math can easily do calculations in their minds or on a calculator, and for beginners it is better to use a special calculator of arbs. Let us consider an example of calculation manually. There are two outcomes: some odds are 1.75, and the other – 2.40. To check the probability of the arb, you need to divide the unit into each of these values ​​and add up the results. If the arb is hidden, the value will be less than 1. Calculation:

1:1.75 + 1:2.40 = 0.57 + 0.42 = 0.99 – there is an arb.

Bets are not the same, but different. With a bank of 100 dollars, they are calculated as follows:

  • 1:1.75:0.99 = 0.58 – $58;
  • 1:2.40:0.99 = 0.42 – $42.

It is very difficult to look for arbs on your own, therefore special services were developed. Many of them are paid, but they instantly find the fattest arbs. Fans of betting on the arbs diligently calculate the bookmakers, they can limit the limits of such a better or even block his account.

Live

In live bets are the most unpredictable: the odds change with incredible speed, and the site starts to slow down at the most important moment. If the better plans to bet in live, then prepare for the upcoming match, study the statistics and physical form of the opponents. From the bank, no more than 5% of the funds should be allocated to bets in live mode.

You need to prepare for the game carefully: discard all emotions and rely only on cold calculation. In live, it is strictly forbidden to put teams/players for whom the better is sick.

For the first few minutes, an experienced better usually watches the game, trying to determine the balance of power and mood of the teams, and then starts betting. Wilts in live are popular in sports with a dynamically changing score: basketball, volleyball and tennis. You can catch them, if you attract a partner who can simultaneously with a better make bets from another gadget.

In football, strategies for a goal in the first half, as well as for late goals, are popular when one of the teams tries to recoup if they scored in the first half. In hockey, the same strategy can be used for periods. The strategy in live on odd/even is also popular, when a few minutes before the end of the half/period/quarter there is a bet on the result that needs to be fixed. It can be scored goals/pucks, and corners, as well as other statistics.

Dallas strategy

Dallas strategy is a bet on the Under (total Under) of the outsider. It is used in football in live mode. A match is selected where a very strong team will play with a weak one. The first half hour you need to watch the dynamics of the game. If the favorite does not leave the underdog the slightest chance of scoring a goal, then you can safely bet on an individual total Under 1.5.

Why exactly 1.5? You shouldn’t rule out a prestige goal, which an outsider can score at the end of the game, when the leader, having thrown the ball into his goal 4-5 times, finally relaxes. If the outsider scored 1 goal in the first half of the game, then we add 1.5 points again, and put on the individual total Under 2.5.

Recommendations for the proper use of the strategy of Dallas:

  1. You should not choose friendly matches, in which the players play more relaxed, so they often end with an unexpected result. Women’s and junior championships should also be excluded, the results in them are also extremely unstable.
  2. Do not pay special attention to the odds. In live, the bookmaker will try to get the most out of it, so he will change them as he sees fit.
  3. Even if the preponderance of the favorite is significant (8:0; 7:0), a prestige goal is always possible. Therefore, you should not bet on Under (1), even if the odds are high enough for him.
  4. The strategy should not be applied at successful championships, where many goals are always scored. In them, even outsiders realize 2-3 goals per game.

D’Alembert strategy

D’Alembert’s strategy is a bit like Martingale, but it’s more flexible and doesn’t allow a bank to be quickly lost in a series of losses. Initially, the better defines for itself the conditional unit that will be put. This could be, for example, 10, 20, 100 dollars. After losing the better should increase the bet by one unit, which he determined earlier.

With the passage of its bet is reduced by one conventional unit. Odds more than 3-4 for sporting events should be chosen. These outcomes are not the most predictable, so the games need to be carefully selected and analyzed.

An example of the D’Alembert’s strategy with a conventional unit of $10:

  1. The first bet is $10 – loss.
  2. The second bet is $20 – loss again.
  3. The third bet is $30 – loss.
  4. The fourth bet is $40 – win. Suppose the odds for an event were 3.69, the better gets 40×3.69 = 147.60. We calculate the net profit: 147.60- (10 + 20 + 30 + 40) = 147.60-100 = 47 dollars 60 cents.

Oscar Grind’s Strategy

Oscar Grind’s strategy is in many ways similar to the D’Alembert method, but less risky. The difference is that with a loss, the size of the bet is not reduced, but left at the same level. But when passing the bet, the amount should be increased by one conventional unit. Then, when winning, the bet is again increased by one unit. The cycle is completed when the better’s balance goes into a plus, that is, the amount becomes larger than the original bank. Then the player returns to the original amount and starts all over again.

Kelly Criterion Strategy

Kelly criterion – a purely financial strategy, developed back in 1956. It allows you to determine the percentage ratio of bets and the bank in such a way that the better does not go bankrupt. For beginners, this strategy is very difficult to understand, it is used only by professional cappers.

The formula for calculating the Kelly criterion is as follows: S = (K*B-1):K-1. In formula B – the better’s forecast for the event, K -the odds of the bookmaker, S – the percentage of the bank amount.

Sports sites offer simple and convenient calculators of Kelly criterion, which in a second show both the percentage of the bet and the amount. Therefore, it is better to use similar services.

Math Strategies

Mathematical strategies are based on pure calculations. They are based on the analysis of statistical data, calculating the size of bets. How to make math strategies work:

  1. It is necessary to select statistical indicators that affect the results of sports competitions.
  2. It is recommended to pay attention to the patterns in the games of specific teams or players. For example, in basketball, an outsider often wins the first quarter on points.
  3. It is necessary to form your own mathematical models, apply formulas, improve existing strategies, adapting them to a specific sport.

Other effective approaches

The surest approach is to bet only on sports which the better understands thoroughly. No strategies will work if you bet at random, without knowing the rules of the game, the names of the teams, their teams.

Another important approach is choosing the right betting shop. There are a lot of them, and even publicized ones, they sometimes work not too legally. Bookmakers can simply block the account and withdraw money from it, but the better cannot prove anything to anyone.

You also need to pay attention to the choice of a numerical margin indicator (this is% of the bets at which the bookmaker earns). The smaller it is, the better a player.

Bets as a way to make money

Bets are primarily a way of making money for a bookmaker. Thanks to the margin, he gets paid even when the better wins. And only 10% of professional players make a profit on betting. For them, this is not entertainment, but the main work. They spend all their time in watching games, calculating and making their strategies and predictions. If you are ready to do this fascinating business all day, then you may enter these 10% of the lucky ones.

Gambling people in general is absolutely contraindicated to get involved in betting. They act on emotions, so instead of winning, they often go bankrupt, they go into debt.

You can begin to engage in betting as entertainment, throwing a small amount at the expense of BS.

If 80% of the bets go through, and the bank begins to exceed the initial one, you may have a talent for betting and you should take it seriously. But this must be done very carefully.

Advantages and disadvantages

Pros:

  • the ability to earn from home, you only need the Internet;
  • can be placed at any convenient time of day;
  • the ability to win large amounts by using strategies, or by placing big money.

Minuses:

  • long withdrawal of earned money in some shops;
  • high risk of splurging, if you play haphazardly, without understanding sports;
  • In order to seriously engage in betting, substantial financial investments are needed.

Murphy’s Law for Betting

In another way, Murphy’s law can be described as the law of meanness, or the law of a sandwich, which is always dropped with a butter side down. Frequent examples of Murphy’s law in bets:

  • The bet at which the better was 100% sure does not pass.
  • Of the several bets, the one in which the most money was invested loses.
  • The team, on which you plan to bet, will win as long as you do not make a bet on it.
  • If the better has won a large amount, then the next day he will merge the entire bank.
  • If with help of acquaintance it was managed to find out about the match, the bookmaker will either remove him from the line or return the bets.
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