Myths of Football Betting: Useful Information for you to Know

Everybody knows that football is the most popular kind of sport in the world. That is why it is not a secret that there are a lot of beliefs and myths connected with it. Some of them are true, others are false. From a betting point of view, however, all the myths and various speculations are extremely dangerous. That is why it can be quite profitable to name the most popular myths for you to avoid them. Thus, the given article will describe some speculations that can be faced by beginner football gamblers.

Overconfidence in Teams’ Abilities

When teams are going to face a match extremely important for their future, such as one that will result in their promotion or participation in the next Champions League season, they have to win, do not they? Some gamblers are overconfident that teams always win when they need to win.

This myth is said to be the most popular among usual gamblers, but it does not have any statistical ground to be true. The given problem is described in the book The Definitive Guide to Betting on Sport written in 2004.

So, the book provides the bettors with two assumptions concerning the given myth. According to the first one, it is believed that the team that needs to win will do all its best in order to play better than their opponents will do. At the same time, this means that the team did not do all their best in order to win previous matches; here, however, there can be different situations. The second assumption states that the pressure of result and fans will make the team play better. However, it can be supposed that the pressure will act reversely. In the book, there were analyzed promotion-fate matches from ten seasons of lower English leagues, and it was discovered that the teams that had been looking for the promotion showed poorer performance in May compared to any other month of the season.

New Manager’s Syndrome

If one of the leading teams in the league is headed by a new manager, it should mean that team’s performance will become better, but is it true? When bettors come across new managers, they are confident that the footballers will be trying harder in order to astonish the manager; that is why it can be reasonable to bet on this team to win.

However, the book mentioned above stipulates that it is only a popular misconception. Having analyzed six Premier League seasons, researchers came to a conclusion that the first games of the teams under the charge of a new manager led to poorer results than average. So, it can be said that the given myth can be used vice versa – if a team is headed by a new manager, you can benefit from betting against it.

Additional Games & Fatigue

Considering the fact that when the teams qualified for the Champions League start participating in this tournament, they are forced to play two games per week, which is usually more than their opponents do in a national league. It is this fact that makes bettors believe that the team will be extremely tired after a Champions League game and it is reasonable to place a wager on their opponents.

The situation, however, is a bit different. Unlike the past, modern vehicles have made it possible to travel long distances in a few hours and in comfortable conditions. Moreover, you should not forget that the most powerful teams often have quite deep squads that allow them to show decent performance in few tournaments.

As for the statistical information, you just should remember that following the games in the European arena, English football teams performed the same or even better in about 60% of cases.

Keeping everything mentioned above in mind will help bettors to avoid popular mistakes and make their betting more sophisticated and successful in order to earn more benefits.