Important Components of Bets: Monitoring in Betting

Analytic actions of a bettor when working with a betting shop is an important component of success for earning. Timely monitoring of bookmakers allows you to detect and determine changes in handicaps, as well as effective coefficients on the bookmaker side, in time. With the advent of a new channel of interaction in the Internet, it became easier to monitor the dynamics of changes in real time. Against the backdrop of this phenomenon, countless online services have emerged that allow bettors and specialists to generalize analytical information to determine the right betting on the sport.

Professional bettors can tell you with confidence that even if you have monitoring of the lines of betting shops, you can’t always consider the obtained data as profitable indicator of profitability. The main thing is to be able to distinguish between the movement of lines that were provoked by professional bettors, and also a similar combination on the part of the “public movement”. This moment is very important for a professional, and even more so for a beginner.

Categories of players in a betting shop

Two groups of bettors have a huge and significant influence on the monitoring process of the betting shops, this is the mass part – the “public”, as well as the “cappers, syndicates”. Each grouping has its own methods of influence, as a result, a single tactic is developed to create a bookmaker line.

Public category

The main standard of this group of bettors, all participants of the process independently develop lines and pursue the goal of entertainment, in order to get some money. This category can include the bulk of the players, and for sure, you treat it. Organizers say that this group includes up to 80% of all active members of the betting shop. The category makes bets in a few hours after the start for the line. Most often they make out bets on unconditional favorites and in most cases on totals (beginners always bet on totals).

But, sometimes this group can be attributed to single professionals who draw their own information on professional betting forums. Professionals also accurately draw a bet for one day, a few hours before the event, without even attracting attention. This category can have a decisive impact on the line, but not always their data can be correct, although there are exceptions (this can only be judged by professionals).

Group syndicates or cappers

Carrying out the analysis, this group first studies the movement, and then provokes a group effect on the line. It is interesting that if the “overload” is massively conducted by professionals, then there is an excellent reason to make a leap forward, but it is necessary to be always on the alert, that is, it is necessary to monitor the parameters of the coefficient, odds or the same total until they become void.

Thus, the general situation with monitoring the lines in the betting shop depends on the actions of each direction of the players of the same group separately.

About overload and movement of lines

Here we will dwell in detail on overload of lines, movement in shops and a little touch on the difference between the two directions.

1. Information about “Line overload”. This category characterizes one direction, when in a certain process there is a mass shift of sums in one direction, and all actions are carried out in a record short time. Most often this stage is typical for “syndicates”. Sometimes bettors call this method of moving “smart money”.
2.  Line movement. That is, the very process of movement for the line occurs almost immediately after the announcement of the start. Certain circles of professionals in this case occupy a wait-and-see position, thus allowing the line to “bend” to an unreasonable size. The public can yield to the influence and bend the direction according to “unverified data”. 

Do you think there are no differences between these lines? In fact, no, but there are characteristic features that determine the structure of each direction. So, the public is promoting the line very slowly, and not even everywhere. On the other hand, “smart money” plays fast, quickly determines the characteristics for the direction through all channels. One of the foreign experts who has a significant management of the betting segment in Las Vegas, Jay Cornegay, once said the following phrase:

“In our city, “smart money” promotes the line as efficiently and instantly as possible. All public finances are moving very slowly. The public will not be able in fact to exert any influence on the given direction, although they are the most. Most likely, this trend is related to the rules of the game of each betting shop separately. It can’t be said that bookmakers do not have weight, but the public very rarely puts on an outsider, preferring a favorite. Here as they say, if you’re lucky. Syndicates use a slightly different tactic and often remain in favor”.

Services for monitoring the movements of lines

There are online services that bettor trusts. The leader is Don Best Odds. Here, players can check the quotes that are currently exhibited from each other. If a player sees a one-way movement of about 0.5 points, he begins to blindly act on the principle of general monitoring. Typically, this change can take only a few minutes. This method leads to the fact that the money goes to the side of “smart money”, that is, the line delivered in its shops is excluded from the list.

All players start the game combination on the fact of the beginning of the movement, and many are looking for those bookmakers that did not have time to follow this line to place their bet. For tracking dynamics, you can use other service areas, in particular, good reviews from Hot-odds.com.

The bulk of players bet on the results of the indicators on the day of registration of the bet or just before the start. Professionals begin to make a bet on the day of the opening of bets, when the line itself has the highest degree of variance. Therefore, if you notice that the bookmaker has opened the bets and see the movements, then this is the work of syndicates or single professionals. In some cases, there are justifiable line movements. So, a NBA player injury can change one-way traffic, weather conditions in American football in another direction. The movement begins after the analysis of some information on the event, which takes into account various factors.

Let’s give another opinion of the leading linemaker of the betting company Millenium Sports Erica Villa:

“If you want to find out where the so-called “smart money” goes during work, the best way is to monitor the line itself on the day of the first opening, as well as on the day of the tournament. If you see a promotion at 1/2 points, then this action is triggered spontaneously, and in this case it was the public. If there is a change of 1 point and even an order of magnitude more, then such actions are provoked by cappers and syndicates. Most often, with the example of NFL, such actions are noticeable on Sundays”.

Do you need to trust lines?

In order to be a successful bettor, one research on the movements of “smart money” will not be enough. For example, in the process of monitoring the transfer, the line itself will collapse very quickly, as long as you are calculating the movement, determine its margin. Time is lost irrevocably! For the professional, paid mailings are only a signal to action, and they are not afraid to analyze the information received. A beginner in this case will be difficult, since he does not know many pitfalls.

Syndicates have advantages for overload over those who independently monitor the dynamics of the state of affairs. While in this process the tracing will await the results of overload, you can make an independent decision about your own bet. The only advice, do not blindly bet on the opposite decision, if you are not sure of this and there is no justification for your decision. The main thing is to understand the natural and objective reasons for the changes in the indicators for each line, and to what level the necessary indicator of the margin is constantly preserved. And otherwise, observe the uniform standards of behavior in the company where you earn money on forecasts, and remember that you always risk at your own peril and risk! The main thing in this business is to develop an analytical mindset and be able to determine in a timely manner the actions of both the public and the syndicates then you can definitely win at the bookmaker, despite the actions of any participant in the betting market.