Strategies for Betting on Football in Live – Features with Example

In this article, we will analyze the existing betting strategies for football in live, how to apply them and the features of use.

Basic principles

Some general information about the principles of live betting. There are two models of players’ behavior in live betting:

1. Protective

put on the fact that nothing will happen (the goal will not be scored or the total number of goals scored, etc.)

2. Aggressive

build a game on the calculation that as a result of the actions of rivals the account will change

Both tactics have the right to life, although I myself often support a passive line of behavior.

It seems to me that in this case the bettor has more options in the unfavorable course of events.

For example, if you bet on the absence of a goal and the goal happens, you can always change the strategy based on the game’s progress by making another bet in live. It’s no secret that in the opposite case it will not work out that way, because we just wait for the whole game in anticipation of the goal. Further in the article, we will discuss strategies where we will make another bet based on the progress of the game.

There is another feature of live betting.

The bookmaker usually dramatically changes the odds in case of goal scoring, especially at the beginning of the meeting (first of all, it concerns the bets for totals and odds) in comparison with pre-match goals. If you conducted an analysis of the meeting and have an idea about the course of the match, then you have a short time to make a profitable bet … This method is used when betting on a favorite, about this further.

Bets on the favorite with the unsuccessful beginning of the match

A fairly common strategy based on two points.

• Confidence in winning the favorite, despite a bad start for him. At the same time, only watching the fight “live”, you can predict the further development of events and draw a conclusion about the likely outcome of the match.
• Coefficients on the favorite before the match are always low, and at an unfavorable start of the game, the coefficient appreciably increases, making the bet attractive.

There is a strategy based on these principles for small coefficients from Mikhail Starikov, the idea of ​​which is that if before the match the winner’s victory was estimated by the bookmaker’s office with a coefficient of about 1.2 and you could watch his decline before the match, then when the leader loses, not having missed the increased coefficient, to bet on the favorite P1 and F1 (-1). This principle makes it similar to the Value Betting strategy, which some consider to be a win-win.

Bets on goals at the end of the match (betting strategy for football live TB)

Statistics confirm the effectiveness of the ending of fights, when football players often play almost without the center of the field, with mutual attacks quickly delivering the ball into the penalty opponents.

But you have to be careful – it’s fair for matches, when both teams play to win.

Sometimes by the nature of the fight it is clear that the account suits both sides, and no one wants to take risks. For example, according to statistics, such a picture can often be seen at the end of the season in teams located at the bottom of the standings, where each point is in the account. In this case, live betting on total can be more dangerous.

Use of arbs arising during the meeting

These are not arbs in their classical sense. In this case, we actually create a arb.

The essence of the strategy is that the bettor makes two bets – one before the game, the other – in the process (live).

Let us consider one of the variants of such a game system.

1. The first bet. Before the match we bet on a draw in the first half. Coefficients usually are more than two.
2. The second bet – on the goal in the 1st half follows in the live mode, when in 5-10 minutes after the beginning of the meeting the coefficient rises so that a arb appears.

Determine the presence of a arb by using formula

B = 1/K1 + 1/K2 and P = (1/K/B) * C

Recommendations for using the strategy

• The choice of the match is determined by the fact that the opponents must be approximately equal in strength, this reduces the probability of a quick goal.
• Do not be too slow with the second shoulder to close the bet in anticipation of a better ratio, if the plug already exists. It will not be superfluous to prepare in advance, having calculated on the calculator what coefficient you need.

Betting strategy on 12 in football

This strategy is inherently similar to the previous one. Before the match we put against a draw, i.e. to the outcome of “12”. After the start of the game, a goal is scored, and the odds for a draw increase sharply. If there is an arb, we make a second bet on a draw.

Example.

Egypt. Premier League 28 round

Before the match, we see a good coefficient for the fact that the match will not be a draw – 1.42 Usually in the games of teams that do not have a noticeable advantage over each other, the coefficients for this market range from 1.3 to 1.4. After working with the online calculator on the link above, you can find out that the plug will appear when the coefficient rises to 3.6 (with a minimum profit). If the player, based on the desired yield (4% – 5%) and the total amount on the plug (200 dollars), will determine an acceptable coefficient of 3.9-4.0 for the bet, then the first bet on 1.42 can be made at a bet of 150 dollars.

It was a long time to wait for the goal (77 minutes), but on the 78th we saw a coefficient for a draw – 4.15, a little higher than expected. Without hesitation we bet – 50 dollars for a draw.

Our sums on bets and the profit received almost coincided with the ideal ones, obtained with the help of a calculator.

What do you need to know about live betting in football?

It is believed that in a football match there are two key points that are important for live betting.

The first of them is the 30th minute of the first half of the meeting. By this time, you can catch the main trends of the game and make the appropriate bet. It is at this point that it is recommended to bet on TB (1.5) in a match with no goals scored.

The second “checkpoint” is the 70th minute. The denouement is approaching, and there is an opportunity, seeing the real nature of the game, taking advantage of the inaccuracies of bookmakers in setting out odds and odds. Also, it’s the 70th minute that is most suitable for betting that another goal will be scored in the match.

Conclusions on live betting

Live betting on football provides bettors wide opportunities for experimentation and development by trial and error of various strategies for success.

The main advantage of live betting, I think a great opportunity to bet based on the progress of the game. Any pre-match analysis will not give that “that information to reflection”, which the experienced player will receive, watching the match “live”. To other factors that increase the attractiveness of this sector of bets, I would include a large number of markets, a rapid change in coefficients, as well as the emergence and creation of arbs in live betting. This increases the risks, so these bets are more suitable for experienced players.