What Kind of Forecasters Can’t be Trusted?

Bets on sporting events have long since become a source of income. Profit is received not only by the participants of the bet, but also by people making up paid forecasts. They have many subscribers, who are provided with forecasts for football, tennis, hockey, basketball fights. People who have a constant income from forecasts are called cappers.

How do cappers work?

The rapid development of bookmaking on the Internet has led to the emergence of a variety of software services, sites on which a daily published mass of forecasts. Some of the forecasts are free. Not all of them can be considered suitable. Strictly speaking, almost every person now has the opportunity to have a blog, or register, and publish their opinions.

The value of sports forecasts of cappers is determined by the statistics of their passage. The coefficients of the predicted events should be taken into account taking into account the break-even point. Cappers services can be considered qualitative in the event that after a large number of bets we receive a profit of at least 10% of the initial bank.

Qualified capper not only predicts events, but gives valuable recommendations for managing a game account. If you put the wrong amount, ignoring the financial strategies, then you will not earn. It should be understood that some forecasts do not come true. Losses in permissible amounts are the norm. If you use the strategies of Martingale after the lost wagers, you can quickly merge the bank. Therefore, put on sports forecasts cappers should be using one or more financial strategies:

• Kelly Criterion;
• Miller’s management;
• Interest from the bank.

How to be sure of the capper’s professionalism?

To understand how high-quality the capper’s forecasts are possible by his rating on the site. Today, a lot of services with sports forecasts. For a fee, it’s easy to get forecasts for hockey, football, tennis, basketball. On some of them you can find archives of forecasts for various events.

What is the value of archival information? Users will be able to assess the level of the capper. For example, if the forecast for the Euroleague basketball game, it is important that in the text there were statistics of the last 5 games of the teams. Useful information will be about injured players and the motivation of the entire squad. If, for example, in the upcoming meeting there will be no center or main point guard, this will significantly reduce the team’s potential. When we see such information in paid forecasts, it means that the capper comprehensively approaches the analysis of rivals.

It is necessary to distinguish lovers of predicting and professionals. The first category, as a rule, deals with this matter for free. It’s more like a hobby for them. It can’t be said that all their forecasts are useless. Many of them publish fairly competent and useful advice on a particular rate. But they should be perceived as advice, not a guide to action. As a rule, such forecasts are submitted without a preliminary estimate of the value of the shop coefficients and it is not clear whether it is advantageous or not to bet on the proposed bets.

Capper, making money, necessarily calculate the rate, determine how much it is profitable and advised by shops in which the highest ratio. You will not see in them predictions for winning obvious favorites over middle peasants or outsiders. Usually, the minimum coefficients for events are 1.7. It is difficult to find profitable events with lower values ​​of the coefficients.

Each professional forecaster has his own income limit. Their earnings depend on the number of permanent and temporary clients, as well as on the number of valuable forecasts. One can publish them in scores and receive a low income. And the second predicts only 2-3 events per week, and has a high profit. As a result, some cappers have a total income of several hundred dollars, while others earn an order of magnitude more. Of great importance is still how the specialist offers his services and how correctly he evaluates them.

In high-quality sports forecasts, the user will always find the highest coefficients that put the shops on these events. After the end of the fights, a final score is published indicating whether the capper’s forecast has come true or not. The result is recorded in the personal statistics of the capper.

Some cappers publish forecasts in the format of video clips. They have their own channel on YouTube. Rollers are created, as a rule, for advertising purposes. Visitors get acquainted with the level of the expert. Some of them leave applications for the purchase of forecasts.

In the videos are considered specific examples of rates. The author points to a personal example, in which moments of the match it is best to bet. In confirmation of the correctness of the conclusions, he applies the screenshots of the won bets.

We should carefully approach such specialists. The main criterion for the success of this or that capper is the balance of the game account in the shop. If the bank’s growth is 15-20% monthly, then this is a very good result. The difficulty is that few people provide real statistics of prisoners.

When determining the level of the capper, one should be guided by his past predictions. If they are deployed and contain information relating to the rate, you can use its services.

On what sports do cappers make forecasts?

Most often there are predictions for popular sports: football, tennis, basketball, hockey and boxing. It should be borne in mind that bookmakers take the highest margin on these disciplines. It makes sense to bet on less popular sports: curling, pentathlon, golf, table tennis.

If the capper is well versed in the above disciplines, then he can prepare more predictions with high coefficients. As a rule, the margin for unpopular sports does not rise above 3.5%.

Forecasts for fixed matches?

The Internet is now filled with offers with fixed matches. Some cappers offer “reasonable” information on the upcoming fight for a moderate fee. It’s no secret that there are such games. If we analyze some fights in the lower soccer leagues, then the nature of the game and the final results cause certain doubts about the integrity of the participants.

Specialists, coaches and fans during the live broadcast without any problems determine that the match is dishonest. This is especially noticeable at the stadium, when the defender for some reason did not reach or did not have time to make a timely tackle. However, this does not mean that the whole game will go wrong, as usual. It is common practice when teams agree to play conditionally honestly 85 minutes in a match, and within 5 minutes “make the right result”. And it is not necessary that these 5 minutes will come to the end of the meeting.

To say exactly before the fight that it will be contractual can only its members and, possibly, several people from the playing teams. However, it is possible to make an assumption taking into account the tournament situation for rivals. Especially “productive” is the last matches of the tour, in which there are middle peasants with teams fighting for survival in the league. The practice of “you – me, I am – you” works well since the union times. Many middle peasants agreed on a kind of barter, when there was an exchange of victories, and each took three points. This spectacle baggage was enough to not fly to the lower league.

It should be clearly understood that none of the players or coaches in the sober mind will be spread about the questionable nature of the upcoming fight. Such a leak of information threatens the participants of this career scam or a lengthy disqualification. The example of the starry Marcel of the year 93 is very revealing. He was deprived of the Champions Cup and sent to play in the second French division. The reason for this decision was a contractual match in the national cup.

This does not mean that there are very “strange” games, or there are none at all. Approximately a dozen per month can be found. It is not necessary to take seriously the information of the cappers, who say that they will sell a forecast for a contractual match for a sane fee. If he had such valuable information, he would have bet in one or several betting shops.

You can find suspicious football matches online Betfair. On its site in a graphic format the information on the sums delivered by players on events is given.

If you analyze the rates on this exchange in detail, then it’s easy to find fights, to which significant funds are put. For example, if hundreds of thousands of banknotes are put on the regional league game, this leads to certain thoughts. You can, if not bet, but at least observe the course of the meeting and see how it ends. As a rule, guesses are correct. In such games, odds are falling rapidly as soon as an impressive amount is raised.

In the example above we see how such rates are displayed on the website of exchanges and bookmakers. Quotations for total Over fell from 3 to 1.75 after a large bet. Further, we see that the market has a little “revived”, and the coefficient for this position has increased to 2.25. Analyzing such information, it is easy to come to the conclusion that participants of such performances play not only on the field.

How to use paid forecasts?

It is not necessary to bet on the events indicated by the capper. It is better to learn how to develop your opinion about the information received. Forecasts from the cappers can be considered valuable in those cases if they have estimates and conclusions to which the bettor could not guess. If the opinions of the forecaster and the client of the betting shop often coincide, then why pay him money?

For free, you can use free forecasts if they contain valuable information there is not on the network. For example, in some football games of not very prestigious tournaments it is not completely clear what the club will be like. To find out which players the mentor will release is very difficult. Some forecasters closely follow the actions of the team literally. It can be devotees and fans. They often attend the training of their favorite club, and for the slightest detail can determine the motivation of the players. Often such cappers guess the composition for the nearest game. Their opinion they can express in a blog or in the forecasts on some site.

Conclusions

When looking for good sports forecasts, you should pay attention to the statistics of the capper. To determine the level of qualifications, it is useful to read archival forecasts. It is necessary to focus attention on the forecasts of events with coefficients not lower than 1.6. Do not trust the forecasters who offer to buy from them information about the contract games.