Alex Michelsen (No. 43) will face Hubert Hurkacz (ranked No. 13) in the Round of 64 at the Rolex Paris Masters on Monday. Hurkacz is more likely to prevail with odds of -125 than Michelsen’s +100. Based on moneyline odds, Michelsen is expected to win 55.6%. Michelsen holds a 24-13 record in 13 hard-court tournaments this year, winning 80.9% of his service games and 28.7% of his return games. He occupies the fifth position regarding break point victory percentage (45.3%). Tomas Machac, a rising star in the tennis world, defeated Michelsen in the quarterfinals of his most recent tournament.
This year, Hurkacz has a 17-10 record on the surface and is currently pursuing his first hard court tournament victory in 2024. He has converted 34.3% of breakpoints and has won 86.0% of his service games and 18.1% of his return games. Jack Draper emerged victorious over Hurkacz in Round 16 of the Rakuten Japan Open Tennis Championships.
The most logical wager is for the match to exceed 2.5 sets in total, considering the statistics and form of both competitors. This match is expected to be a closely contested battle, with both competitors pushing each other to the limit, creating an intense and suspenseful atmosphere for tennis fans.