On October 28, 2024, Arthur Fils will play Marin Cilic in the ATP Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles. Our estimate is based on more than 200,000 simulations of past matches. Both players come into the match with impressive stats.
Although Fils and Cilic haven’t played each other yet, Fils is currently winning 51.09% of points on his second serve, a crucial aspect of his game. On the other hand, Cilic is only winning 52.89% on his second serve. Fils is 48.81% on second serves, and Cilic is 49.26%, both excellent numbers for the return game. Fils saves 65.4% of breakpoints when he’s under pressure, just ahead of Cilic’s 64.62%.
Fils has won 60% of his matches (39/26), a solid record that indicates his consistent performance. On the other hand, Cilic has won only 47.06% (8/9) in the past year, which suggests a lower level of consistency. Fils does better against higher-ranked opponents than Cilic, averaging 77.08 to 147.47.
With Fils’s recent strong performance, particularly in crucial sets, his victory seems probable. The odds indicate that a bet on Fils to win in over 22 games is a confident and potentially rewarding choice.