Despite a three-point penalty, Ecuador remains in a strong position in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers. They will host Bolivia on Match Day 11, and here’s a look at the numbers along with our prediction.
Ecuador currently sits fifth, just one point ahead of seventh-placed Bolivia. In their opening 10 matches, Ecuador has secured four wins, but their momentum has been hindered by back-to-back draws against Uruguay and Paraguay, both ending 0-0.
Historically, Ecuador has been formidable at home, remaining unbeaten in their last 11 World Cup qualifying matches at home, which they will heavily rely on in this matchup.
On the other hand, Bolivia is coming off a devastating 6-0 defeat to Argentina, which raises concerns as they prepare for another away match. That loss interrupted a promising run where they had defeated Colombia, Chile, and Venezuela.
While Bolivia has managed to keep clean sheets in two of their last four matches, replicating that form away from home has been challenging. They enter this game with four losses in their last five away matches, failing to score in each of those defeats. Additionally, Bolivia has lost their last seven encounters against Ecuador.
Given these statistics and current forms, we predict that Ecuador will secure a victory, likely capitalizing on their home advantage and Bolivia’s struggles on the road.