Because of their extensive experience playing games abroad, the Jaguars, who are playing their thirteenth game in London, have a clear edge. Their second-ranked rushing attack, led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, is a good fit for the Patriots’ twenty-first-ranked run defense. Even though rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown promise, the Patriots’ offensive woes (31st in passing, worst in red zone efficiency) are a cause for concern and make it doubtful that they will be able to capitalize.
Despite facing a Patriots squad rated 30th in total offence, Jacksonville’s defensive issues (31st in total defence) are somewhat alleviated. No Patriots running game should be able to overcome the Jaguars’ top-ten run defense in the NFL. According to in-depth statistical analysis, the Jaguars will take command of the game and come out on top to cover the -7.5 spread.