Manchester United, coached by Erik ten Hag, will be looking to keep their spotless home league record against Brentford intact when they play the Bees on Saturday. The stakes are high, with United in 14th place and Brentford in 10th place in the Premier League. United have been terrible so far this season, drawing with Aston Villa and losing badly to Tottenham and Liverpool. Nevertheless, the Opta supercomputer, a reputable source for sports analytics, still gives them a 54.3% chance of winning, based on a range of performance metrics.
This streak of Manchester United victories against Brentford in Manchester United league games, a tradition dating back to 1937, adds a layer of historical significance to this upcoming match. Conversely, Brentford have lost all three away games this season, and manager Thomas Frank is dangerously close to losing 50 Premier League games. Although United’s offensive woes are apparent—they score an average of only 0.7 goals per game in the league—there is cause for hope due to Brentford’s dismal away record.
Bryan Mbeumo has been outstanding with six goals in seven games for Brentford, a testament to the impact of individual performances on team success. Similarly, Christian Eriksen has been pivotal for United, with six goals in his last five outings. United are favorites because of their home field and past supremacy, even though both teams have suffered several injuries.
Given these considerations, the best bet for this match is a Manchester United victory. Our analysis points to a United win, providing a confident prediction for the upcoming match.