Coming off a convincing 3-1 triumph over the Florida Panthers, the Ottawa Senators are in high spirits as they prepare for their upcoming clash with the Montreal Canadiens. Despite their relatively low number of wins last season, the Senators boast a solid estimated win probability of 61.1% for this game, making them the money line favourite. Ranked 20th in the league with 250 goals, their offensive prowess and defensive efforts (26th in goals allowed with 281) suggest a strong potential to score, albeit with some challenges in preventing goals.
On the flip side, the Montreal Canadiens are coming off a disappointing 6-4 loss to the Boston Bruins. With 25 victories against the odds out of 76 games last season, they have a reputation for pulling off surprises. However, their indicated win probability for this game is lower than that of the Senators. Their combined 26th offensive and defensive rankings indicate that they have struggled in all aspects of the game.
Considering their recent form, estimated win chances, and overall club performance, the Ottawa Senators emerge as the clear choice for this game. Their superior offensive power, coupled with the Canadiens’ defensive struggles, positions them as the more likely victors.