Northern Ireland will host Belarus in their penultimate match of the Nations League group. Currently in League C, Northern Ireland sits one point ahead of Belarus, who are second in the table. Bulgaria is still in contention for the group win, trailing Northern Ireland by just a couple of points, while Luxembourg occupies the bottom position. Northern Ireland will travel to Luxembourg for their final fixture.
The home side has been impressive, winning both of their home games in this group without conceding a goal. Although only seven goals have been scored across their four group matches, five of those came in a dominant 5-0 victory over Bulgaria in Belfast.
Northern Ireland has kept four clean sheets in their last five matches and has not conceded in their last four home games. Interestingly, six of their last eight home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored. Their previous encounter with Belarus ended in a 0-0 draw.
On the other hand, Belarus is currently in the promotion play-off position and will conclude their group with a home game against Bulgaria. Their four group fixtures have yielded only three goals, suggesting another tightly contested match is likely. Notably, 10 of their last 13 away fixtures have also seen under 2.5 goals scored.
Given these statistics, we predict that this match will follow a similar pattern, likely resulting in under 2.5 goals being scored again.